This one is pretty close to MOASS
Presently Ruto has 59.8 percent support in Central Kenya, more than any other part of the country including Rift Valley where he has 55.7 percent backing in North Rift and 59.4 percent in South Rift. Ruto is weakest in Nyanza where he has 21.1 percent support.
By contrast Raila is strongest in Nyanza where he has 66.1 percent support. His next best region is Coast where he has 42.3 percent and Western with 40.2 percent, compared to 38.7 and 40.1 percent for Ruto in those same regions respectively.
Raila is weakest in Central where has 25.1 percent support and Upper Eastern with 25.6 percent compared to Ruto's 55.8 percent support.
In Nairobi, Ruto has 44.8 percent support and Raila 35.7 percent. In South Rift and North Rift respectively, Raila has 26.9 percent backing and 22.9 percent.
For Raila to overtake Ruto therefore, he will need to slash Ruto's lead where it is greatest, namely in Central, Rift Valley and Upper Eastern.
When asked who they think will win, regardless of how they will vote, 49.3 percent of respondents said Ruto and 34.3 percent said Raila.
On political parties, 34 percent of respondents said they were closest to the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and 26 percent said ODM. Only 9 percent said Jubilee while 25 percent said they had no party affiliation.
On who would make the best President for Kenya, 47.1 percent said Ruto and 34.5 percent said Raila.
