Laughable. If Ruto is done - kaput - why are the helter skelter. Raila is not acceptable to Mt kenya - both elite and laity - and that you cannot see is of course laughable. If Ruto is toxic - trust me - Raila is nuclear toxic to Uhuru and the mt Kenya folks. These are called tautologies. Known knowns.
At end of day - Ruto is sitting pretty - waiting for the gang to implode - and for him to take him one by one.
Ruto has solid gameplan - he will run with Kikuyu candidate - Most likely Mwangi Kiunjuri - and that is that. Ruto has made that very clear to anyone else trying to join him - that they are joining - for the crumbs. The cream is already taken. It therefore very understandable why those outside GEMA nation are not keen to talk to RUTO.
The rest of the field are trying to square circles and all kind of gymanstics - and find someone who can fit the bill - and of course agree to it
In my view Ruto just has to buy time - and wait it out - for the 10 or 20 candidates to try all sort of configurations - including in make-belief BBI - and then eventually they will split - and Ruto will take them out.
Bottomline: Ruto is at stage where he has to do DO NOTHING except wait. What is he waiting for - for Uhuru to finally realize he has been rejected long time ago by GEMA people.
Can Uhuru find someone in GEMA who can win community trust while opposing Ruto? Very unlikely. PK is dead as dodo. Munya and Muturi are just laughable. Kabago - mmh - the man lost Kiambu governorship. Outside say convincing say Mwangi of Equity to join politics - I just don't see a GEMA hero that would unite the 6 arms of kikuyus (kiambu,muranga, nyeri, diaspora, merus and embus) to take on Ruto.
So at this point Ruto really has to decide btw Kiunjuri and say another GEMA leader....and then take the war to poor unpopular Uhuru.
Uhuru is doing very well given he should long be lameduck by now - going by your fake punditry - instead he is the center of gravity. Uhuru gameplan seem obvious: key agenda is to block Ruto who is now radioactive skunk even small fish like Mukhisa or Kibwana won't touch with 10ft pole.
The One Kenya Alliance of tribal chiefs is strategy to scuttle Ruto UDA momentum. Cobbled after Diani, first strike has gone excellent in Luhya, Gusii, Kamba and now Juja. UDA is dead before the whistle. Noone remembers hustler nation since the last by-elections because the popular mass movement facade was shattered.
Raila is still the first among equals. Being cut to size was necessary: one, Ruto was chewing into his non-Luo bases while kingpins have been able to fend him off. Without Mvurya I doubt Ruto would have managed anything in Kwale. Two, Raila with NASA was impossible to negotiate with as he was holding too many aces. But now mere first among equals it easier to craft a BBI lineup and sell him as team player not imperial PORK.
BBI lineup remains intact, I see no signs of serious strife or disagreement. Ruto if he was serious should be the one lining up Mvurya-Kingi but instead they are talking to Uhuru. Tangatanga only hope is that Uhuru is playing Raila which remains improbable by many indicators. Gema of course will simply vote their own man not Raila or Mdvd or whoever. BBI is now very popular in Mt Kenya as all MPs draw red-line at unbeateable 1M1V1S. Gema have no choice but to back PK and guarantee him majority MPs for PM post.
Ruto as he lose Mt Kenya and his hustler nonsense wither will be lucky to be 3rd runner-up. RV 25% gani hio sasa - are Maa even with him? UDA is a URP knock-off.
