Let me introduce you guys to a show that does actual analysis instead of establishment propaganda: It's Rising (on the channel 'The Hill')
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPWXiRWZ29zrxPFIQT7eHSAI was not surprised by Nevada like those idiots on MSNBC because I've been watching their analysis for three weeks. They laughed off all the stablishment talking points and have been proven right EVERY SINGLE TIME.
1) MSM: 'Bernie wins Iowa (pop vote) and NH coz they're pure white. Wait till we get to diverse states then he'll be floored.'
-Rising said: Actually, Bernie's strength is among Minorities, so expect him to only get stronger once you move out of Iowa, NH.
Nevada shows they were right.
2) MSM: 'Bernie is winning coz moderates are splitting the moderate vote/lane'
-Rising said: Actually, there's no such thing as a 'moderate lane': it's a meme made up by pundits. Voters don't think like that, they think in terms of individual candidates and who they think will beat Trump for a good chunk. In fact, MOST voters list Bernie as their preferred second choice; both Biden and Warren voters, so assuming they'll congregate under one of them against Bernie is not based on any analysis: the 'moderate lane' vs 'progressive lane' don't exist.
3) MSM: 'Bernie has a ceiling: he can't grow his support/unite Democrats beyond his fringe hardcore support.'
-Rising said: Nonsense. The party base will begin jumping on board the ship of anyone who starts wracking up the wins; exactly as happened with Trump in the RNC process in 2016. It doesn't matter if that person is Bernie or Biden or Warren.
4) MSM: 'Joe Biden is prolly finished after NH.'
-Rising said: Don't count him out yet! If he squeaks out a second in Nevada, which he can, and a win in S.C., he'll struggle but will still be in play. His real problem is Super Tuesday: has not been campaigning well because of no money and poor ground-game, but MSM will give him a lot of airtime boost if he does well in S.C.
5) MSM: 'Bernie is not electable. Biden is, Warren is, Buttigiege etc.'
-Rising said: Bernie is the MOST electable. Why?
(1) He has beaten Trump by the highest margin in most head-to-head polls, of all the Dem candidates.
(2) He's the only one who speaks to the populist independent vote that gave Trump the edge over Hillary in the Rustbelt in 2016—They hate establishment candidates from both parties.
(3) He has the ground-game, comparable only to Trump 2016 and Obama 2008: the Get-the-vote-out game, that is. Biden in particular has
very poor ground-game. Warren and Buttigiege
have very good ground-game but no money. Plus, Warren's hiring former Hillary people who advised her to start turning back on M4All and start playing up Hillary's tired Identity politics 'I'm a woman' nonsense totally tanked her campaign. She and Biden were Bernie's only real competition b4 Bloomberg turned up with all his cash.Buttigiege has never been a threat because he has no minority support like Biden and Bernie. Elizabeth doesn't have minority support either but she had good crossover appeal that would've carried her if she had performed well in the first few states. Her real problem is she has been 4th/5th throughout.
(4) Not only can Bernie compete with Trump, his strategy is the only one that has a chance to beat him at his strength: Trump's strength is that older people, white people, and Republicans in general vote like their lives depend on it, whereas younger pple and minorities tend not to vote. 40% of the electorate stay home. Bernie isn't looking to convert Trumpians Blue, he's looking to turn out a vote base that normally doesn't vote: Latinos, Blacks, young people.
-Which is why his ground game counts a big deal but ALSO his message. They won't be turning out for milktoast status quo centrist, 'moderate' nonsense. They'll be turning out for college debt forgiveness and Medicare 4 all. Only middle class, educated White liberals (or middle-class liberals in general) will be turning out to the polls
just to kick Trump out of office. For the poor working class, you need to give them something tangible, like Trump gave 'build the wall' and a few others to poor Whites on the Right.
(5) Besides Bloomberg, the rest have run out of money and have not been running ads or campaigning properly in the Super Tuesday states. Bernie is flowing with cash: a huuuuuge war chest and all of it reflects grassroots support since he has refused to take anything but small donations. He has more money than anyone save Bloomberg.
I advise everyone not to rely on MSNBC (the WORST culprit), but also CNN and the other MSM. The only pple who have been seeing this clearly have been Fox, shockingly, only because they were comparing it to RNC 2016 and seeing the parallels, but even they have gotten a lot of stuff wrong. Watch Rising on the Hill, folks! You'll despise MSM very fast if you do because you'll watch them miss everything. They are not stupid, they are 'invested': they are millionaires who don't want to pay higher taxes. Rely on them at your peril. They've plain said they'd rather lose to Trump and try again in 2024 than have Bernie take over coz he'll change everything. (Chris Mathews). So if you're not on board with that, be aware that they are not in anyway neutral.
