Yes most people will turn up - we shall have maybe 75 percent turnout - but there few issues that will see low turnout
1) 2013 - was entirely new register - this one has a million dead people - about 200k dead each year registered and another 200K plus unregistered. Let see if kPMG will remove the dead - iebc doesnt have reliable way to remove the dead.
2) GEMA - wont be any extra push to get everyone to vote - there wont be stronghold rigging - a little padding of the votes here and there.
So generally there will be slightly drop in turnout - because of the dead voters - and secondly because this election doesnt look that polarizing - it appears to many it's choice btw TWO RS. The voters are almost evenly split in most regions except their strongholds.
I don't know where people are getting this low turnout bullshit from. August second Tuesday is a holiday. It is a ritual.
Without the ink on your damn finger you are like an outcast. It can even break your business.
For the village folks, it is entertainment of a decade. Those who keep running the myth of Mt Kenya low turnout are just bonkers. What do you do for a whole day??
What I have never understood is the low turnout in 2002 despite the rainbow fever. Even lower than 97? Had Moi/ufool been so succesful in voter suppression or people believed Moi was invicincible?
