Author Topic: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise  (Read 5492 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« on: March 21, 2021, 01:49:40 PM »
Ruto loses Didmus and Raila set to lose Oparanya as Uhuru state sanctioned tribal re-inforcement in Luhya and Ukambani take on.

Sources told the Star that Oparanya could be in the process of launching his own party before affiliating to the sacred alliance.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/counties/western/2021-03-21-savula-wants-oparanya-to-join-anc-after-matungu-loss/

Offline Pajero

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2021, 01:55:51 PM »
Kila mtoto acheze kwao,soo far soo good.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2021, 02:05:37 PM »
How will that benefit Raila when he is being reduced to a Luo leader - and worse for him - Kalonzo/Madvd have stepped down for him - one too many times :)
Kila mtoto acheze kwao,soo far soo good.

Offline Pajero

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2021, 04:08:01 PM »
Leave Raila alone,you have enough problems in Udaku party to focus on,Raila will fight his own wars.

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2021, 05:24:55 PM »
No kidding! Didmus Barasa the rabbid Ruto dog  8) :o These folks are positioning for BBI stakes... top tier is gone so Oparanyas and 3rd, 4th tiers are angling for CS. Tribe has knocked out class in round one.

Pundit this is good for Raila because he has BBI blank checkbook. What does Ruto have? Even Moses Kuria has defied him.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2021, 05:32:26 PM »
Pundit so where is the rumor about Oparanya forming his own party? Or isit the usual lies. All I see is Savula noises - Oparanya is running on ODM.

Ruto loses Didmus and Raila set to lose Oparanya as Uhuru state sanctioned tribal re-inforcement in Luhya and Ukambani take on.

Sources told the Star that Oparanya could be in the process of launching his own party before affiliating to the sacred alliance.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/counties/western/2021-03-21-savula-wants-oparanya-to-join-anc-after-matungu-loss/
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2021, 05:33:08 PM »
You see Ruto troubles but you're blind to Raila..who is one actually losing.Ruto never had these areas but is playing to get it.Has Ruto lost jubilee alliance constituency
...no..but Raila NASA is being turned into 4 tribal groups ...luhya,Kambas,mijikenda and gusii

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2021, 05:34:53 PM »
All am asking is some evidence about Oparanya new party plans... Didmus Barasa amejitokeza mwenyewe. Savula is not Oparanya spokesman.

?s=20

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You see Ruto troubles but you're blind to Raila..who is one actually losing.Ruto never had these areas but is playing to get it.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2021, 05:37:28 PM »
All am asking is some evidence about Oparanya new party plans... Didmus Barasa amejitokeza mwenyewe. Savula is not Oparanya spokesman.

?s=20

?s=20

You see Ruto troubles but you're blind to Raila..who is one actually losing.Ruto never had these areas but is playing to get it.
if it goes tribal how will oparanya or joho survive...use your brain.The same with mutua who died in machakos.Kaloi keep 3 counties with Ruto trying to get craps..Of course  uhuru is promising them each pork...

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2021, 06:23:05 PM »
if it goes tribal how will oparanya or joho survive...use your brain.The same with mutua who died in machakos.Kaloi keep 3 counties with Ruto trying to get craps..Of course  uhuru is promising them each pork...

It is going tribal. There will be ODM, ANC, Wiper, coast party, GEMA. etc - under BBI tent. This is deliberate strategy not chaos as you seem to think - before without going full tribal Ruto was eating their lunch with hustler message. Tribe will encroach ODM as well obviously - but so long as Raila has BBI in his firm grasp there is no better offer for Sacred crew. They cannot win PORK without either Raila or Ruto - but Raila has solid power-sharing MOU unlike Ruto.

Oparanya or Kingi have no option but to want a name for themselves - to get MP then at least CS. Joho insist on ODM because he is deputy leader - guarantee himself CS under Raila. Ruto trouble starts with being cornered into No-watemelon - which is tough bind to unstuck himself more than you realize.

No Pundit, there is no magical "realignment" in play except rehashed tribalism to kill any classism. As you can see Barasas are fleeing hustler shadow to tribal cocoon under kingpin - most of the latter whom have no time for Ruto.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2021, 06:27:24 PM »
Okay no need to argue..otherwise you know my bottom line.. gema both laity and elite will never trust Raila just like moi never could but you're young.The game plan as I see is to go for 2nd round by denying Ruto 50% then force Raila to back a system candidate who will come 2nd to Ruto.Raila has turned from front runner to kingmaker because he is getting eaten.


Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2021, 06:49:19 PM »
And who is "system candidate" in your fresh theory? Matiang'i? So what does Scared Alliance get in return? Where does BBI fit in this theory?

Okay no need to argue..otherwise you know my bottom line.. gema both laity and elite will never trust Raila just like moi never could but you're young.The game plan as I see is to go for 2nd round by denying Ruto 50% then force Raila to back a system candidate who will come 2nd to Ruto.Raila has turned from front runner to kingmaker because he is getting eaten.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2021, 06:55:10 PM »
Scared alliance are pawns..system candidate likely gideon moi if uhuru has is way...or gema candidate if gideon proof a hard sell.Matiangi cannot be given pork...he will be given small positions like weta because at end of the day their max out at 4_ 8%

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #14 on: March 21, 2021, 06:56:29 PM »
BBI itaenda wapi je?
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2021, 07:00:15 PM »
BBI itaenda wapi je?
Uhuru will declare constitution changed as soon as parliament passes except for few clauses which will be in referendum in 2022...Raila has to be careful not pass in parliament so it can go referendum.once uhuru has bits of BBI not requiring referendum he will implement it..by appointing sacred alliance to BBI position this years..nothing stop uhuru from appointing pm and dpm soon

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #16 on: March 21, 2021, 07:14:27 PM »
Hybrid - MPs as PM/DPM/CS - is not possible without referendum - so Uhuru is bound to the hip with BBI. 35% is also protected. I doubt even 1M1V1S can pass on the floor. And Sacred crew are not that gullible to get CS for few months to election without some better guarantee. BBI is the only solid game in town... there is only one BBI bill being debated in joint committee.

You seem too sold on Sacred Alliance - what have they really done so far except whitewash UDA? Mutua says Uhuru & Raila asked him to take one for BBI team - during BBI zoom - which Raila wouldn't do if Uhuru and Kalonzo were against him. Insisting they are all running for PORK is normal politics to fend off Ruto or even Raila from their respective cocoons. So long as Luhya remain in 2 planks - Mdvd will still only make DPM with Matiang'i - PM iko na wenyewe.

From all the news so far: GEMA elite hawataki Ruto. Keep projecting.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #17 on: March 21, 2021, 08:15:12 PM »
Uhuru will give the bill to koinange cousin AG and they will declare sections unprotected amended and the rest will go to the referendum.If you disagree youcan go to court..already 3rd way alliance has alerted the court about such eventuality.As for sacred alliance hiyo ni gideon moi idea with uhuru.Both are very close friends of long years.There is no day kenyatta and mois will endorse Raila.They despise Ruto as a village boy but fear Raila so much.

Offline Njuri Ncheke

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #18 on: March 21, 2021, 09:19:25 PM »
Ruto appears to have lost western. I warned investing in Luhyas will make a sad ending.

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: western re-alignment - madvd on the rise
« Reply #19 on: March 21, 2021, 09:20:47 PM »
 :D don't tell RV. Is it true even Major Walukhe has decamped from hustler?

Ruto appears to have lost western. I warned investing in Luhyas will make a sad ending.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels