This based on on what exactly? Wishful thinking
I think we can conclude that diaspora Kikuyus who make roughly 1/3 of Kikuyu are not in.
Those ones are taking care of their immediate interest.
Now central proper is where Kieleweke are pulling all the stops..
.literally tear-gasing church meetings and murdering their own in food posioning and thuggery..in desperate bid to stop Ruto hustler movement from getting sold.
RUto has 80% hapo. Elsewhere it close to 90%.
Uhuru has 20% - Benefit of Doubt.
Raila has 2%.
The moment Uhuru or anyone he backs say Raila - that benefit of doubt - become credited to Ruto account.
Ruto remember starts with solid 30% - he can secure 25% of RV plus 5% of URP pastoralist elsewhere as his core - without touching GEMA proper, Luhya, Ukambani and coast.
If he gets 50% of Eastern - by taking mt kenya east and few kambasa - he is already close to 40%.
If he gets 5-7% from Luhya Nation - he is pretty close to 50%.
We have not gone to Nyanza, Central, Nairobi and coast
Ruto is basically UNSTOPPABLE. There is no ROUND 2 as long as current playground is what we have.
Can we also conclude Kikuyuland is Handshake bedrock? Mt Kenya will break Raila 70-30 Mobutu.