You have run all these math and stats before - clinging to Uhurutopia - and lost. Instead of your theories let us stick to reality. Uhuru Kenyatta is going nowhere - we know this because he is pulling all punches to aid Raila and BBI. Embarassing Ruto and cutting him to size. Hammering his midgets hard. GEMA leaders have been leaving the Ruto bandwagon one by one - Wa Iria, Waiguru, Lee Kinyanjui, Waititu, Muthomi Njuki, Irungu Kang'ata, Sabina Chege,Kanini Kega - the list is long. Now Uhuru has banned Tangatanga from holding rallies in Mt Kenya. You are delusional to think this has no effect on the ground.
It is not the first time Kenyatta put the family first over "his people". In the 60s he shipped them off to RV and grabbed their ancestral land in Kiambu. Some he let Delameres and Egertons keep. All for self- aggrandizement. Today what he is doing while bad for Ruto and
perhaps the Kikuyu - is good for everyone else outside Kikuyu and Kalenjin. In fact good for Kenya and patriotic. Kenya is greater than Kikuyu and Kalenjin.
You are right I don't know what Uhuru wants. Do you? I got these reported news - all you got is a hunch that BBI 2.0 is a trick on Raila - to stop him from throwing stones
I said it, you are delusional.
You lost me there on GEMA. I thought we were analyzing the possible moves by Uhuru? Himuselfu. Yes GEMA consent is required - because Ruto(RV) definitely not for your reforms (Not now when they are about to inherit PORK). So GEMA +RV = JUBILEE= WITH 3 Elections won so far - past 50%.
Murkomen in simple English said - if GEMA wants parliamentary system - then RV have no problem. It another way of saying NO referendum .
Unless of course GEMA wants a system where they will have what 35 mps from Central plus 10 Mps from Meru +embu plus 10 mps (Big iff) in Nairobi and another 10 in RV diaspora. Those are 65mps in parliament with 350. That is like 18% of kenya.Kalenjin alone (not even including other kamatusas) are about that number of Mps - leave alone if Ruto manages to keep the alliance with other pastoralists.
In short - don't assume you know what Uhuru wants -