MAY THE GEM AMONG MEN RISE, TO SAY HE IS RUNNING, FOR PRESIDENTThere is debris over there in Somalia, to collect and bring home for honour. Position of commander in chief, yawning for a fill. Let us not burry our dead alive. A good thought for the eve of Madaraka-2021.
Perhaps it is not far-fetched to think there will be no elections next year. That, between them,
Raila Odinga and Ouru Kenyatta reckon they can get away with the explosive issue of illegitimacy. That is, that they own and can win enough souls in the land to call the bluff of constitutionalists, Ruto-cloned opposants, critics and all those who count as would-be defenders of the peoples' cause. Many a pretender of course.
It would be a terrible risk, but given the systematic (moral) collapse of key institutes of the order, among others due to rampant corruption and the in-depth complicity of the whole elite in the rot and self-aggrandisement, no one from the selfsame elite of patriotic charlatans can successfully mount a challenge. Nay, they be better off closing ranks against Wanjiku. They can be blackmailed to speedy submission. They can be intimidated by the threat of total dispossession. The prospect of actual banishment to the ranks of real Hustlers would kill them looters and fake patriots.
On the main on the Kenyan beats, real Hustlers don't know where the next meal will come from. This is the class of the precariat, old term lumpen (proletariat). Hustler is an obscurantist and confusionist term. Howbeit our politicians who have
patented the self-description HUSTLER, are a high-income category. But most are just errand boys for the cartel of looters monopolising the treasury of Kenya. They are, because of culpable fiduciary infidelity, easy to tone down into tame, coiled tails; and even easier to set barking as bribed. And in the hardest case, as ordered.
On elections anyway,
Chebukati has, in all his earlier attempts at the national cup, delivered a horror. Statistically analysed, the probability is, his next effort will be true to form. Thus more of the same. There is nothing on the ground to suggest otherwise. It means to a large extent, the nation is already subconsciously prepared for another Chebukati arzhole show. It is a serial rendition with the possibilities of a dangerous climax.
But how has Kenya survived the previous horrors delivered by
Chebukati and the many others before him --like
Kivuitu? (One need not be a keen observer of our history to recognise this basic fact: Free and Fair is a passmark which only two presidential elections
(1963 and 2000; end of colonialism and end of the Moi era respectively, can unequivocally lay claim to). Yet Kenya is still here, doing not so bad if you compare us to the neighbouring Uselessnesses.
We thus have a secret weapon. Or so far, we have had apt and effective mediation processes. We have of course sailed very close to the abyss ---think how (1)
Koffi Annan camped in Nairobi to panelbeat the recalcitrant idiots into the nation-saving GCG; and (2) think how
The Handshake was 'rabbited out of a hat' by the two royal protagonists-cum-presidents to prevent the emergence of two republics from the vifaranga stalemate. From the above examples, our secret may be Luck. Luck which is still holding.
It is obvious our political toplayer is not possessed of the tenacity to resolve it before it happens; nay, they are a last-minute gang. This recklessness is all very well if a country is important enough for others geopolitically POWERFUL, those awesome states whose interests wont be served by the disintegration of (to put it like Donald Trump) a sh!thole republic. Yes, worthless countries can easily be left to implode. Howbeit, even disappear into chaos to their fill of barbarism. (I am pondering Yemen and Somalia, and earlier on Rwanda, Uganda, CAR and Sudan. These were temporarily lost to civilisation).
Meseems the source of our luck is not be heaven after all. Nay, it is geopolitics. This, is the other side of our tragedy. It means a pampered elite has developed and prospered, void of any responsibility, accustomed to quick bail-outs, guaranteed endless credit lines even if showing total illiteracy in accounting. And it is feted at the highest tables even if totally infantile at home .... And of course it is militarily insured.
Well.
On the last, an important point need must be unearthed. This ending week,
select videos appeared online of Kenyan servicemen still held captive by Al-shabaabus. Most of these KDF poor souls are from the El-Adde fiasco, easily our Dien Bien Phu. But the High command of Kenya has never gone official.
---How many are missing in Action?
----How many are presumed dead (otherwise)
---What is the official call??( [1] We don't negotiate with terrorists?
Thus the Al-Shabaab captives are lost forever (ii) We ... Our Deep State.... is on it .... which may be part of the reason an American Somali businessman was 'Musandod' around Nairobi and the FBI just looks the other way
[C] No call whatsoever (in which case their return is the headache of their various families. Harambee's to pay ransom if they wish?)
OF HIDDEN NATIONAL NIGHTMARESFor dead or alive, men left behind in deluded military adventures in foreign battlefields have a habit of haunting the subconscious of a land. Some may remember one episode in the notorious
Rambo films; or MIA starring Chuck Norris.
The short of them is this. The top of the army and the national politicians have moved on from the defeat in Vietnam. But the file of the army and local politicians haven't. These know the individual families who have dug graves but are still hesitant about the ultimate rituals of goodbye. They also know the tales of the ... should we say ... half widows. Some, like within my distant family, are on to their third child. In this case she has not completely turned her back on the lost one of El-Adde. She's marking time, waiting for him, but not idling around. She's producing offspring to bear his name, even if genetically inauthentic. Some, in shame, would rather die than come back to this situation. Others come back only to commit murder in such situations. It is a mixed bag of coping tragedies. Goldmines for future artistic dives to our dark hearts.
Obviously the top of the Kenya Army have moved on; and Al-Shabaab, realising
the captives have no bargain value, have been nonplussed. The callousness of the CURRENT
Kenyan military creed has shocked the outlaw warriors of Islam.
It is important to recognise why such callousness tends to disturb most, the consciousness of the relevant land, in this case Kenya. It is a blacked-out topic on our many TV stations, but I rest assured this is because it is a gaping wound no one wants to tap in the open. But the point is, the tale of the
forgotten men of El-Adde, abandoned servicemen, is the tale of a lost moral code of the men with the command of death over their fellow citizens. This is a shame no nation can sleep on without nightmares, many nightmares.
I am sure, just as no-one bothered about this topic on the farcical
national prayer day yesterday, no one will bother with it
@MadarakaDay21 at Kisumu tomorrow, as the His Excellency the official President and His Guardianship The Peoples' President, flog their dying horse in the arena with false tones, to kickstart the BBI.
Where do we go from here? And by here I mean this constitutional stalemate.
I think the Judiciary will be called upon to make a spate of compromise rulings.
--No impeachment of Uhuru Kenyatta as the earlier ruling opened
--Giving the nullified BBI a way out, a panya road to take
--Fiddling around with the referendum and electoral dates
---Conjuring up a ruling which opens for a grand coalition (with everybody including Ruto)
--Rule a shambolic and corrupted electoral exercise as a pass (This allows the deployment of the security forces to effect it; in deed, like Uhuru's second win with its less than 30% turn-out of yonder was.)
It will be upon the Judiciary to prevent excesses or even chaos. The politicians as usual, will only see light before the eleventh hour.
But let us hope Uhuru and Raila have the sense to launch the projects in Kisumu with the official vice president, William Ruto, in tow. These are state projects, not personal whims, and it will be good common sense prevailing to include the VP. The only man who is his own man and has declared himself running. (If no other real man rises up to challenge him and be counted tall, the rest is a rigging exercise.
Mukhisa Kituyi, Peter Kenneth, Gideon Moi, Kibutha Kibwana, Musalia Mudavadi ... these featured compromise candidates have an unscalable problem facing William Ruto. They are too obviously inferior. It can not even be a David against Goliath scenario, coz those rats are hollow of the nerve and courage of a David to tune that sling and take dead aim. Even with the mobilised power of Dynasties backing them, those compromised men remain the rats they are before the Big cat Ruto. That spells rigging to go through.
Raila is surely not too senile to recognise such an obvious fact. And the BBI is no anecdote against rigging. We watched the super state thug
Matiang'i trash that notion openly in Kissii (by-election). The search for a safe landing intensifies.
We may need to fish wider for solutions.