Folks - here's the contradiction: has Uhuru been beaten by Ruto or are they in cahoots to trick Raila? Can't have it both ways. Ruto took over Gema thru mlolongo and these alienated Uhuru who swiftly trashed their MOU. It's really far- fetched to spin that these spygames and James Bond twists are to appease Raila. We have seen the brazen intimidation of Waititu who has capitulated and abandoned Ruto. The Kibra soap opera where Waiguru, Shebesh and the "Kibicho" apparatus openly worked for ODM. That the Ruto icy demeanor and fidgeting - those Murkomen tantrums at Bomas - were all staged
I agree with vooke & Kadame's take that Ruto has snatched Mt Kenya pawns from Uhuru. But at a very steep cost not worth it.
Ruto badly rattled Uhuru with the mlolongo swoop and Raila has successfully exploited the suspicions to wedge them with trojan 2.0. I mean at Oct 2017 what did Raila have apart from the failed NASA/CORD and useless Madvd. Now he has a Handshake coalition of Waigurus and Mutuas. What has Ruto gained since the Handshake? He was literally guaranteed 100% Jubilee+GoK but now how is that going? The incumbent without the machinery. The civil war in Jubilee and particularly Mt Kenya has distracted Ruto in non-Gema.
Look: Pundit has fallen out of love with his MOAS for a reason. Out of Mt Kenya and Kalenjin, Ruto has lost the battle to Raila. Where is he doing well - point it out - Coast? Ukambani? Gusii? Luhya? Maa?
Now talk of Mt Kenya: Raila is dangling Exec PM to Uhuru and this makes Ruto's game very complex. He lacks oomph to confront Uhuru for fear it could backfire. Uhuru does not need to sell Raila in Mt Kenya - rather Raila needs to sell him in non-Gema. So long as Gema gets a second bite at the cherry thru Uhuru 2.0 - Ruto will have tough luck bagging that vote. Ruto Mt Kenya chances are same as Raila in Kalenjin pre-2012. Zero difference between Kosgey, Magerer, Frank Bett, Sally, Sirma vs Kuria, Ichung'wa, Ngirici, Nyoro, etc. Raila seems ready to sacrifice his ambition for the parliamentary system - and this is his ace card over Ruto. Because of the Kikuyu-Kalenjin 60 years monopoly of power - Raila beats Ruto in non-Gema by a mile. How do you convince Luhya to wait for 2042 after Kiunjuri
At least parliamentary give them a fairer chance.
That's how I read it. BBI is still in the works. Pundit it's laughable that greedy son of Jomo wants to retire as Party Supreme Leader like senile Moi. Or he has lung cancer nonsense. Raila has a solid offer while Ruto has nothing.