1) 100% Luo vote will not help Baba.That is just winning 25% of the vote or even less.
2) Baba just lost Kamba vote - by calling them cheap. "Kambas are faithful, just like women When they want to give it to you, they will."
3) Baba is now busy fighting with maDVD - opening yet another from in Luhya.
4) Owalo will eat into Baba votes.
Finally,Mariga is poised for huge win. He just need Luhyas and Kikuyus.
Baba initially dismissed Ruto ethnic campaigns - where Ruto was taking each of ethnic groups to dine in Karen - but at last minute he was desperately looking for Kikuyus, Luos and Nubians to meet him.
Now the man is at High Court trying to stop the dog beating.
As for BBI - we will cross that bridge when we get there. It appears Uhuru is not to keen - after central drew the line on parliamentary system.
You don't sound so sure of your chances. Raila is busy lining up Luo 100% turnout. Things aren't always as they seem - isn't that one of your smart alec quips? The correct question is how Ruto will rebutt BBI while smarting from a dog beating.