Nandi will win soy and maybe Turbo where luhya okwara is the jubilee candidate.But Nandi have William Ruto for Dpork although technically wsr is a kipsigis.If Mandago gets nearly 20% NASa support in Eldoret will turn the tables on Buzeki.But we I'll he...will luo n luhyas ignore their plight coz baba endorsed mandago like joho in msa.We will have to watch ho we far this endorsement rings.In the meantime NASa endorsing munya buries him in meru just like Isaac 35% went up the smoke.
1. Luhyas, Luos, Kisiis etc have no candidate of their own. So it is really a choice between going to vote for one of the Kalenjin candidates or abstaining. Those who go to the polling box will follow the NASA advice and vote for Mandago. There may be some exceptions such those who have been bribed etc but they will be very few.
2. I disagree that Munya is done. For starters when two strong candidates are in contesting their supporters are pretty much settled and none can shift for any reason. For instance those who are supporting Uhuru in Kiambu will not vote for Raila unless Uhuru committed some crime that is unheard of (
and I rule out shooting a man or woman at a public rally, raping a donkey in public...etc). In even the two are balanced in support, that is when the swing vote comes in.
Mandago knows that the Kikuyu will provide the swing vote for Buzeki. So he has engineered "insecurity" that has seen many leaving in droves. It is possible election day threats may cause some suppression. He has then made a pact with NASA to secure the Luhya vote in exchange for his supporters voting for NASA.
The reason I think you dismissed the other guy too fast is because who knows where this will lead to? If the exodus grows, it may result in unforeseen consequences even for the Luhyas and Luos. But the one thing that will be clear is like the man you dismissed wrote, the Luos, Luhyas, Kalenjin would be back in alliance against Kikuyus.
