MaDVD moved to NASA without NFK faction of Wamalwa/Lusaka/Kombo

[RV Pundit]

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That NFK faction last time gave MaDVD 110,000 votes (30%) in Bungoma and 25,000(12%) in TransZoia. Looking at all evidence it would suggest Wetangula & Wamunyinyi & Eseli have huge problem amongst the Bukusu - with all Bungoma Mps/Women rep/Governor bar ANC Sambu supporting Jubilee. Of the 10 mps - Jubilee have 6.

According to opinion polls we've seen so far; Gov Ken Lusaka is set to retain his seat against Ford Kenya's Wangamati & ODM's  Alfred Khangati.

Matters for NASA are complicated with ANC, Ford Kenya and ODM all battling each other..

If this turn out to be true..together with turmoil in ukambani...Uhuru could easily add 2% to his 53% to cross 55%.

Wamalwa & his NFK group if they transfer 140K votes to Uhuru would have added 1%. Ukambani brigade has Kalonzo on the wall and Jubilee might just get another 150k (1%) there.

NASA would have to drop to 44% against Jubilee's 55% with 1% for others.

[Nefertiti]

NASA will loose many MP's to monolith Jubilee due to infighting in Western, Nairobi, etc. Just like 2013. In Nairobi apart from governor they have ODM & Wiper competing for senator, women rep and MP. Zoning or joint nominations would have helped them.

[Omollo]

I can see Pundit now prefers photographic evidence.

I am sorry to rain on your party: 50% of those people were ferried to Bungoma in school buses, Prison vehicles, NYS etc. Jubilee has now got a new class of people who simply move from one rally to another.

The 50% who attended the rally are still outside Lusaka's office demanding the payment. It is a crisis in Bungoma as they were given 12Million to organize the rally. Obviously big eaters like those simply shared the "peanuts" but now they have a problem.

We saw this first in Nyeri when 2000 women who had danced for Uhuru were marooned in the stadium as brokers fled with their money. It took Kenyans on Twitter two days to get the women rescued from the stadium.

I will post the evidence of what I have written about the transportation of crowds to beef up Uhuru's rallies.

[Omollo]

Pundit

If Uhuru is depending on votes from western to retain the presidency, then kindly advise him to start packing. There are no votes for Jubilee in Western.

There isn a chance he'll get votes from the Sabaot enclave. But Kirwa has been busy over there plus the usual clan conflicts are playing in the hands of NASA just like 2007. Strong arm tactics of Jubilee always backfire.

Musikari Kombo was beaten twice by Wetangula. I think even you could place the "Expired" label on him. He is tired and worn out.

Lusaka: Advise him to stop fucking people's wives with accompanying public scandals including being barricaded outside lodgings. Ooops, it is too late! You adulterer and paedophile has no reputation. Just remember Bukusu are VERY conservative. They do not stomach such nonsense. He has half a dozen young girls he has impregnated waiting for cows the wazees forced him to pay and marry "his wives". I hate to write all this sleaze but I am tired of hearing you glorify a man who after 8/8 will not be allowed to read the bible in any church - even Dini ya Msambwa.

As for Eugene Wamalwa: Please! How many elections has Eugene won? If you think the 2007 elections were credible and that Kibaki won, then Eugene won as well. The truth is Eugene lost to Nakitare after his FATHER - Kijana Wamalwa died. He lost again in 2007 but was rigged in as part of Kibaki's plan to get non Kikuyu MPs to back his thievery.

However you have lately become a permanent resident of your own echo chamber. So we shall wait to see how those wonderful percentages of yours play out.
 

That NFK faction last time gave MaDVD 110,000 votes (30%) in Bungoma and 25,000(12%) in TransZoia. Looking at all evidence it would suggest Wetangula & Wamunyinyi & Eseli have huge problem amongst the Bukusu - with all Bungoma Mps/Women rep/Governor bar ANC Sambu supporting Jubilee. Of the 10 mps - Jubilee have 6.

According to opinion polls we've seen so far; Gov Ken Lusaka is set to retain his seat against Ford Kenya's Wangamati & ODM's  Alfred Khangati.

Matters for NASA are complicated with ANC, Ford Kenya and ODM all battling each other..

If this turn out to be true..together with turmoil in ukambani...Uhuru could easily add 2% to his 53% to cross 55%.

Wamalwa & his NFK group if they transfer 140K votes to Uhuru would have added 1%. Ukambani brigade has Kalonzo on the wall and Jubilee might just get another 150k (1%) there.

NASA would have to drop to 44% against Jubilee's 55% with 1% for others.

[patel]

is this the same Lusaka that procured 100K+ wheel barrows for his county? Jubilee is conglomerate of thieves. From Waiguru to sholei to Lusaka

[RV Pundit]

You lost me there with Ken Lusaka escapades. I know Bungoma well. I would say 1/3 of Bukusu are jubilee leaning. ODM/NASA will get majority of the votes like they did in 2013 but Jubilee will take MaDVD 30% - which essentially belonged to Kombo (he got 34% -for senate), Wamalwa,Ken Lusaka, Bifwoli Wakoli, Brig Wakule, Bumula MP, Webuye East Mp, Women Rep Wanyonyi. Like I told you - it only  Tachoni of Sambu -of Webuye West - and Wamunyinyi of Kanduyi plus Tongaren Mp Eseli who are bating  for NASA.

I'll be watching Bungoma closely - political indicators - like opinion polls, crowds, key leaders, local/regional/clan issue - are stuff I'd like to watch for MOAS.
Bungoma tribal maths is Bukusu/Tachoni/Sabaot --I'll try to get %.Tachoni will likely still follow Sambu? to ANC?

So far it would seem Uhuru (12%)+ Wamalwa grp(30% - not a lot of Maragolis in Bungoma) would easily make 40%  with NASA taking 60%; let assume 10% of maDVD folks vote for NASA - and at worst it seem Jubilee will get 30% of Bungoma...I'll take 35% for now.

Kirwa has no say among Sabaot - he is Nandi from Tanzania

Pundit

If Uhuru is depending on votes from western to retain the presidency, then kindly advise him to start packing. There are no votes for Jubilee in Western.

There isn a chance he'll get votes from the Sabaot enclave. But Kirwa has been busy over there plus the usual clan conflicts are playing in the hands of NASA just like 2007. Strong arm tactics of Jubilee always backfire.

Musikari Kombo was beaten twice by Wetangula. I think even you could place the "Expired" label on him. He is tired and worn out.

Lusaka: Advise him to stop fucking people's wives with accompanying public scandals including being barricaded outside lodgings. Ooops, it is too late! You adulterer and paedophile has no reputation. Just remember Bukusu are VERY conservative. They do not stomach such nonsense. He has half a dozen young girls he has impregnated waiting for cows the wazees forced him to pay and marry "his wives". I hate to write all this sleaze but I am tired of hearing you glorify a man who after 8/8 will not be allowed to read the bible in any church - even Dini ya Msambwa.

As for Eugene Wamalwa: Please! How many elections has Eugene won? If you think the 2007 elections were credible and that Kibaki won, then Eugene won as well. The truth is Eugene lost to Nakitare after his FATHER - Kijana Wamalwa died. He lost again in 2007 but was rigged in as part of Kibaki's plan to get non Kikuyu MPs to back his thievery.

However you have lately become a permanent resident of your own echo chamber. So we shall wait to see how those wonderful percentages of yours play out.
 

[Omollo]

You lost me there with Ken Lusaka escapades. I know Bungoma well. I would say 1/3 of Bukusu are jubilee leaning. ODM/NASA will get majority of the votes like they did in 2013 but Jubilee will take MaDVD 30% - which essentially belonged to Kombo (he got 34% -for senate), Wamalwa,Ken Lusaka, Bifwoli Wakoli, Brig Wakule, Bumula MP, Webuye East Mp, Women Rep Wanyonyi. Like I told you - it only  Tachoni of Sambu -of Webuye West - and Wamunyinyi of Kanduyi plus Tongaren Mp Eseli who are bating  for NASA.

I'll be watching Bungoma closely - political indicators - like opinion polls, crowds, key leaders, local/regional/clan issue - are stuff I'd like to watch for MOAS.
Bungoma tribal maths is Bukusu/Tachoni/Sabaot --I'll try to get %.Tachoni will likely still follow Sambu? to ANC?

So far it would seem Uhuru (12%)+ Wamalwa grp(30% - not a lot of Maragolis in Bungoma) would easily make 40%  with NASA taking 60%; let assume 10% of maDVD folks vote for NASA - and at worst it seem Jubilee will get 30% of Bungoma...I'll take 35% for now.

Kirwa has no say among Sabaot - he is Nandi from Tanzania

I will not get in to the Percentages War. Hio ni yako pekee yako. No contest.

Here are the facts: The entire Bungoma is voting NASA and you will see new MPs - some whom you never expected to get elected. Anybody who supports Jubilee is history.

I am not sure the Saboats will vote for Jubilee again this time.

I have no idea where Jubilee think they will get votes. The selling of Panpaper to Uhuru and his Kalasingas was the last straw and all these cosmetic efforts to open, launch, re-open and restart are not helping for the simple reason that Kibaki already did that!!! Nobody is being fooled. They saw Kibaki reopen, rescue, launch, re-launch and so on. Why do you think Musikari Kombo is the laughing stock of Bungoma.

Bukusus are the last of the Luhya clans that believe in Luhya nationalism. With ALL (except Jirongo) saying vote NASA, Jubilee has no chance. Towards July and close to elections, if my predictions are right based on history, they will become violent to any incursions be they by Ruto or Uhuru.

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