You lost me there with Ken Lusaka escapades. I know Bungoma well. I would say 1/3 of Bukusu are jubilee leaning. ODM/NASA will get majority of the votes like they did in 2013 but Jubilee will take MaDVD 30% - which essentially belonged to Kombo (he got 34% -for senate), Wamalwa,Ken Lusaka, Bifwoli Wakoli, Brig Wakule, Bumula MP, Webuye East Mp, Women Rep Wanyonyi. Like I told you - it only Tachoni of Sambu -of Webuye West - and Wamunyinyi of Kanduyi plus Tongaren Mp Eseli who are bating for NASA.
I'll be watching Bungoma closely - political indicators - like opinion polls, crowds, key leaders, local/regional/clan issue - are stuff I'd like to watch for MOAS.
Bungoma tribal maths is Bukusu/Tachoni/Sabaot --I'll try to get %.Tachoni will likely still follow Sambu? to ANC?
So far it would seem Uhuru (12%)+ Wamalwa grp(30% - not a lot of Maragolis in Bungoma) would easily make 40% with NASA taking 60%; let assume 10% of maDVD folks vote for NASA - and at worst it seem Jubilee will get 30% of Bungoma...I'll take 35% for now.
Kirwa has no say among Sabaot - he is Nandi from Tanzania
Pundit
If Uhuru is depending on votes from western to retain the presidency, then kindly advise him to start packing. There are no votes for Jubilee in Western.
There isn a chance he'll get votes from the Sabaot enclave. But Kirwa has been busy over there plus the usual clan conflicts are playing in the hands of NASA just like 2007. Strong arm tactics of Jubilee always backfire.
Musikari Kombo was beaten twice by Wetangula. I think even you could place the "Expired" label on him. He is tired and worn out.
Lusaka: Advise him to stop fucking people's wives with accompanying public scandals including being barricaded outside lodgings. Ooops, it is too late! You adulterer and paedophile has no reputation. Just remember Bukusu are VERY conservative. They do not stomach such nonsense. He has half a dozen young girls he has impregnated waiting for cows the wazees forced him to pay and marry "his wives". I hate to write all this sleaze but I am tired of hearing you glorify a man who after 8/8 will not be allowed to read the bible in any church - even Dini ya Msambwa.
As for Eugene Wamalwa: Please! How many elections has Eugene won? If you think the 2007 elections were credible and that Kibaki won, then Eugene won as well. The truth is Eugene lost to Nakitare after his FATHER - Kijana Wamalwa died. He lost again in 2007 but was rigged in as part of Kibaki's plan to get non Kikuyu MPs to back his thievery.
However you have lately become a permanent resident of your own echo chamber. So we shall wait to see how those wonderful percentages of yours play out.