Ruto-Wanga i think will sweep Luo and pastoralists.
Gusii problem start with kalenjin clashes not really Ruto's fault.
Gema is RiggyG poison.
Luhya noone can beat Natembeya. Worse is Ruto has noone serious - he is sending Farouk because MaDVD and Rectangular can't deliver. They need to send Khalwale a truckload.
Ruto ako na shida.
Gusii were the first ones to leave UDA then Gema. Luhya have left too. Raila can only bring in Max 9%. Most Luo will revolt in a general election. I think Ruto will run on ODM in 2027.