Author Topic: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima  (Read 866 times)

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima
« Reply #20 on: July 03, 2025, 12:20:28 PM »
This 3-horse MOASS is base case for Ruto. I think it's most likely because Raila must maintan his party otherwise MOU with Ruto 2.0 will not be worth the paper. Duhh

Worst case is RiggyG & Gema fronting Raila-Kalonzo. Real fight.

Best case is Ruto-Raila as at today - no need for elections.


Kagame/Meles technically has 65%- because ODM is right inside and I dont think Raila want to go for another contest.

We are working on worst case scenario. Just in case Raila bolts out last minute - assuming Uhuru/Muhoho wakes up from the dead - he aint waking up.

Otherwise ODM wako Ndani ya Sirikali with wakina Mutua in Statehouse - and Raila has said he cannot talk to Gathietha.

RiggyG Mt Kenya dont like Raila nor Ruto - so wako na shida..

Meanwhile RUto is going to be eating ODM pole pole - while keeping baba happy. Naona tayari Hassan Joho is playing is own game outside ODM
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Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima
« Reply #21 on: July 03, 2025, 03:24:24 PM »
Excellent punditry. Nowadays I am really feel you get it. Yes there is still a lot in the air and 2yrs in politics is a lifetime. Raila and Uhuru remain the uknown knowns.
This 3-horse MOASS is base case for Ruto. I think it's most likely because Raila must maintan his party otherwise MOU with Ruto 2.0 will not be worth the paper. Duhh

Worst case is RiggyG & Gema fronting Raila-Kalonzo. Real fight.

Best case is Ruto-Raila as at today - no need for elections.


Kagame/Meles technically has 65%- because ODM is right inside and I dont think Raila want to go for another contest.

We are working on worst case scenario. Just in case Raila bolts out last minute - assuming Uhuru/Muhoho wakes up from the dead - he aint waking up.

Otherwise ODM wako Ndani ya Sirikali with wakina Mutua in Statehouse - and Raila has said he cannot talk to Gathietha.

RiggyG Mt Kenya dont like Raila nor Ruto - so wako na shida..

Meanwhile RUto is going to be eating ODM pole pole - while keeping baba happy. Naona tayari Hassan Joho is playing is own game outside ODM