Author Topic: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima  (Read 1033 times)

Offline Nefertiti

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 11929
  • Reputation: 26106
  • Shoo Be Doo Be Doo Oop
Re: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima
« Reply #20 on: July 03, 2025, 12:20:28 PM »
This 3-horse MOASS is base case for Ruto. I think it's most likely because Raila must maintan his party otherwise MOU with Ruto 2.0 will not be worth the paper. Duhh

Worst case is RiggyG & Gema fronting Raila-Kalonzo. Real fight.

Best case is Ruto-Raila as at today - no need for elections.


Kagame/Meles technically has 65%- because ODM is right inside and I dont think Raila want to go for another contest.

We are working on worst case scenario. Just in case Raila bolts out last minute - assuming Uhuru/Muhoho wakes up from the dead - he aint waking up.

Otherwise ODM wako Ndani ya Sirikali with wakina Mutua in Statehouse - and Raila has said he cannot talk to Gathietha.

RiggyG Mt Kenya dont like Raila nor Ruto - so wako na shida..

Meanwhile RUto is going to be eating ODM pole pole - while keeping baba happy. Naona tayari Hassan Joho is playing is own game outside ODM
♫♫ I'm Yours
You're mine
Like Paradise  ~ song by Sade

Offline RV Pundit

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 39262
  • Reputation: 1074446
Re: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima
« Reply #21 on: July 03, 2025, 03:24:24 PM »
Excellent punditry. Nowadays I am really feel you get it. Yes there is still a lot in the air and 2yrs in politics is a lifetime. Raila and Uhuru remain the uknown knowns.
This 3-horse MOASS is base case for Ruto. I think it's most likely because Raila must maintan his party otherwise MOU with Ruto 2.0 will not be worth the paper. Duhh

Worst case is RiggyG & Gema fronting Raila-Kalonzo. Real fight.

Best case is Ruto-Raila as at today - no need for elections.


Kagame/Meles technically has 65%- because ODM is right inside and I dont think Raila want to go for another contest.

We are working on worst case scenario. Just in case Raila bolts out last minute - assuming Uhuru/Muhoho wakes up from the dead - he aint waking up.

Otherwise ODM wako Ndani ya Sirikali with wakina Mutua in Statehouse - and Raila has said he cannot talk to Gathietha.

RiggyG Mt Kenya dont like Raila nor Ruto - so wako na shida..

Meanwhile RUto is going to be eating ODM pole pole - while keeping baba happy. Naona tayari Hassan Joho is playing is own game outside ODM

Offline KenyanPlato

  • Moderator
  • Enigma
  • *
  • Posts: 6912
  • Reputation: 6183
Re: Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima
« Reply #22 on: Today at 04:00:07 AM »
No one has won presidency Without gema support. Ruto will be the first one. Do not count moi 92 and 97..the opposition was so fragmented and moi was still pulling a lot of original Kadu support..

Ruto will has been burried by unmanageable debt that has crippled govt ability function. Then the demographic time bomb has exploded under his watch. All you are going to see from now to 2050 is riots and riots and the number of young hopeless jobless youth keep on multiplying