The dough, aka the bag, is what wins elections 80% of the time in Kenya, followed by tribal alignment and realignment. 2002 was the only time the bag failed to win votes. Moi had the bag in 1992 and 1997, Kibaki had the bag in 2007, and Uhuru had bags in 2012 and 2017. Ruto and Raila had almost equal bags in 2022; that is why it was a nail biter!. Ruto now has 10x bags in 2024, and by 2027, I suspect he will have 100x bags! To mount a successful campaign against him, the opposition will need at least 2 trillion shillings, a lot of prayers, and proper tribal alignment and realignment!
I think 2027 is still far to analyze, but what you can't discount is Ruto's deepest pockets. Kenyattas and Moi can only dream to match him financially!