We were all led to believe that ruto was this political genius, but now, it's becoming obvious, that maybe he was just good on the campaign trail and at giving speeches, but when it comes to actual governing. he is proving to be useless and doesn't seem to be in touch with the mood on the ground.
Mistake #1:
Underestimating the real anger on the ground against his regime and assuming the politics of kenya is still tribally based and the anger is not across the board and across tribes.
Mistake #2:
Assuming the protests are confined to urbanites living in Nairobi and assuming that rural kenya is still with him.
Mistake #3:
Continuing with extreme corruption and theft in an economy that has all but collapsed. Telling Kenyans to tighten their belts while him and cronies get rich at the expense of these same poverty stricken taxpayers.
Mistake #4:
Under-estimating the military power of the west and it's ability to take out any African leader they wish.
The geopolitics of Africa is interesting. If the west (NATO and the US) decide that a particular country is "important" to their interests, they will protect those interests even if it means removing the regime. Kenya is one of those countries. It is not Burkina Faso or Chad.
In Mali, the Islamists thought they'd be able to take over the country until the French airforce arrived and decimated them.
Sudan has been left to it's own devices. So, has the Congo and many other countries.
But certain countries will not be left to their own devices. Kenya is one of them and so is a country like Senegal (The French will not let Senegal go down)
One phone call to the army generals from the US, can bring ruto down. The US and Britain will not allow a band of thieves to bring down Kenya. Does Ruto, who has already faced ICC charges not understand this?
The largest CIA station in sub-saharan Africa is based at the US embassy in Nairobi.
Uhuru Kenyatta and ruto both bare the blame for the collapsing economy, but ruto, who promised to fix things, is not fixing anything. A drunk thief was just replaced by a sober thief.