Tifa poll..Raila leads with 42 percent against Ruto 39

[RV Pundit]

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Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

[Nowayhaha]

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

[Njuri Ncheke]

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

[RV Pundit]

You're one cell Ameoba. I dont fully trust them. I dont fully distrust them. That is why I do my own MOASS. And no opinion polls have ever accurately predicted anything in Kenya correctly.

Do you still trust these polls ?

[RV Pundit]

I dont but it gives me clues. I know for instance that central rift is bullshiet; Ruto will score 95% in Kalenjin land. But from this I see Ruto is doing great in Ukambani, NEP and Western.

This poll by Tifa is cooked, mischievous and a recipe post election chaos.

Why?

Ruto's popularity is MT Kenya is not 53% whether you go to the moon and come back. pic.twitter.com/8vL5VFR3Dg

— Santito (@mosongo_) July 11, 2022

/photo/1

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

[RV Pundit]

And the data is old - pre Ruto manifesto launch of 30th June. I wonder why they took 10 days to analyze the data

#TIFAElectionsPoll The approach used in the survey pic.twitter.com/K5eRNuwYbw

— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) July 11, 2022

TV47 Kenya
@tv47ke
·
3h
TIFA Research is set to release results of a poll on 'preferred presidential candidate' today at 10AM.

Company CEO Maggie Ireri says the public opinion data (collected from June 25-30) also covers political party alignment, coalitions support, and election participation.

[Nowayhaha]

Whats wrong with him. Together with Robina they always worship the opinion polls.
I even suggested to him to conduct his own opinion poll lakini wapi ....He will come with TiFA mara Mizani funny funny names ..

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

[Nowayhaha]

First turn off is seing provinces which nolonger exist.
Why cant they just do them using counties which are recognized by the constituion.

I dont but it gives me clues. I know for instance that central rift is bullshiet; Ruto will score 95% in Kalenjin land. But from this I see Ruto is doing great in Ukambani, NEP and Western.

This poll by Tifa is cooked, mischievous and a recipe post election chaos.

Why?

Ruto's popularity is MT Kenya is not 53% whether you go to the moon and come back. pic.twitter.com/8vL5VFR3Dg

— Santito (@mosongo_) July 11, 2022

/photo/1

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

[RV Pundit]

Tuliza. It doesnt mean we cannot discuss them even if we distrust them.

Ruto according to MOAS will win by 53-54% to Raila 45-46% - with Waja at 1%.

Whats wrong with him. Together with Robina they always worship the opinion polls.
I even suggested to him to conduct his own opinion poll lakini wapi ....He will come with TiFA mara Mizani funny funny names ..

[RV Pundit]

They do try to segment into tribes. Yes I think IRS and Mizani are only ones who try to do every county. And now with advent of telephone interview...you can do large sample size. IRS for example did 20,000 sample size. Why would they do small sample size when calling people is very cheap.

First turn off is seing provinces which nolonger exist.
Why cant they just do them using counties which are recognized by the constituion.

I dont but it gives me clues. I know for instance that central rift is bullshiet; Ruto will score 95% in Kalenjin land. But from this I see Ruto is doing great in Ukambani, NEP and Western.

This poll by Tifa is cooked, mischievous and a recipe post election chaos.

Why?

Ruto's popularity is MT Kenya is not 53% whether you go to the moon and come back. pic.twitter.com/8vL5VFR3Dg

— Santito (@mosongo_) July 11, 2022

/photo/1

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

[KenyanPlato]

Kenyans may be voting their conscience for first time in their lifetime. I have never seen kikuyus as divided as in this elections. I may be 45 vs 55. I just attended a wedding and I have to say 90% of kikuyus attendees were Azimio.

[Njuri Ncheke]

Whats wrong with him. Together with Robina they always worship the opinion polls.
I even suggested to him to conduct his own opinion poll lakini wapi ....He will come with TiFA mara Mizani funny funny names ..

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

I at times think Robina and pundit is just one person,they reason same on many issues. Good thing no one in mlima follows them,they tried 2007,13,17 and now 22 to change the narrative but wapi we only believe in ourselves. There will be a huge shock on 9 August,. If assmio gets even 15% kwa mlima that will be a miracle.

[RV Pundit]

Tuliza Makende. This my current MOAS. I am waiting to release the final soon.

Ruto is leading with 54% - Raila is at 45%.

County Code   County   Reg.Voters   Proj.Turnout   Total.Cast   Raila(%)   Ruto%   Others(%)   Total   Raila   Ruto   Others
1   Mombasa   641,913   60   385,148   59   39   2   100   227,237   150,208   7,703
2   Kwale   328,253   65   213,364   40   59   1   100   85,346   125,885   2,134
3   Kilifi   588,602   60   353,161   60   39   1   100   211,897   137,733   3,532
4   Tana River   141,096   65   91,712   59   40   1   100   54,110   36,685   917
5   Lamu   81,453   65   52,944   50   49   1   100   26,472   25,943   529
6   Taila Taveta   181,827   60   109,096   69   30   1   100   75,276   32,729   1,091
7   Garissa   201,473   60   120,884   34   65   1   100   41,101   78,575   1,209
8   Wapr   207,758   60   124,655   34   65   1   100   42,383   81,026   1,247
9   Mandera   217,030   60   130,218   34   65   1   100   44,274   84,642   1,302
10   Marsabit   166,912   60   100,147   34   65   1   100   34,050   65,096   1,001
11   Isiolo   89,504   60   53,702   34   65   1   100   18,259   34,906   537
12   MERU   772,139   70   540,497   25   74   1   100   135,124   399,968   5,405
13   Tharaka-Nithi   231,932   75   173,949   15   84   1   100   26,092   146,117   1,739
14   Embu   334,382   75   250,787   15   84   1   100   37,618   210,661   2,508
15   Kitui   532,758   70   372,931   74   25   1   100   275,969   93,233   3,729
16   Machakos   687,565   70   481,296   65   34   1   100   312,842   163,641   4,813
17   Makueni   479,401   70   335,581   70   29   1   100   234,907   97,318   3,356
18   Nyandarua   361,165   70   252,816   25   74   1   100   63,204   187,084   2,528
19   Nyeri   481,632   70   337,142   15   84   1   100   50,571   283,199   3,371
20   Kirinyaga   376,001   70   263,201   30   69   1   100   78,960   181,609   2,632
21   Murang'a   620,929   70   434,650   25   74   1   100   108,663   321,641   4,347
22   Kiambu   1,275,008   70   892,506   30   69   1   100   267,752   615,829   8,925
23   Turkana   236,128   60   141,677   40   59   1   100   56,671   83,589   1,417
24   West Pokot   220,026   70   154,018   25   74   1   100   38,505   113,973   1,540
25   Samburu   100,014   60   60,008   45   54   1   100   27,004   32,404   600
26   Trans Nzoia   398,981   70   279,287   30   69   1   100   83,786   192,708   2,793
27   Uasin G?shu   506,138   85   430,217   15   84   1   100   64,533   361,382   4,302
28   Elgeyo/Marakwet   213,884   85   181,801   5   94   1   100   9,090   170,893   1,818
29   Nand?   486,288   85   413,345   8   91   1   100   33,068   376,144   4,133
30   Bar?ngo   281,053   80   224,842   15   84   1   100   33,726   188,867   2,248
31   La?kip?a   283,012   75   212,259   30   69   1   100   63,678   146,459   2,123
32   Nakuru   1,054,856   75   791,142   30   69   1   100   237,343   545,888   7,911
33   Narok   398,784   75   299,088   40   59   1   100   119,635   176,462   2,991
34   Kaj?ado   463,173   75   347,380   55   44   1   100   191,059   152,847   3,474
35   Ker?cho   428,067   85   363,857   5   94   1   100   18,193   342,026   3,639
36   Bomet   376,985   85   320,437   5   94   1   100   16,022   301,211   3,204
37   Kakamega   844,151   70   590,906   50   49   1   100   295,453   289,544   5,909
38   Vih?ga   310,043   70   217,030   44   55   1   100   95,493   119,367   2,170
39   Bungoma   646,598   70   452,619   30   69   1   100   135,786   312,307   4,526
40   Bus?a   416,756   65   270,891   70   29   1   100   189,624   78,558   2,709
41   Siaya   533,195   85   453,216   98   1   1   100   444,152   4,532   4,532
42   Kisumu   606,754   85   515,741   98   1   1   100   505,426   5,157   5,157
43   Homa Bay   551,071   85   468,410   98   1   1   100   459,042   4,684   4,684
44   Migori   469,019   85   398,666   80   19   1   100   318,933   75,747   3,987
45   KisII   637,010   70   445,907   64   35   1   100   285,380   156,067   4,459
46   Nyamira   323,283   70   226,298   64   35   1   100   144,831   79,204   2,263
47   Nairobi City   2,415,310   70   1,690,717   55   42   3   100   929,894   710,101   50,722
      22,199,312   72   16,020,146   45   54   1   100   7,248,434   8,573,849   197,866

I at times think Robina and pundit is just one person,they reason same on many issues. Good thing no one in mlima follows them,they tried 2007,13,17 and now 22 to change the narrative but wapi we only believe in ourselves. There will be a huge shock on 9 August,. If assmio gets even 15% kwa mlima that will be a miracle.

[Nowayhaha]

They call themselves Pundits. Atleast for Robina her cluelessness can be justified by her being interested in politics as from 2016. RV with all the knowledge dont know why he likes beating around the bush.

Whats wrong with him. Together with Robina they always worship the opinion polls.
I even suggested to him to conduct his own opinion poll lakini wapi ....He will come with TiFA mara Mizani funny funny names ..

Do you still trust these polls ?

Curiously the undecided and won't vote remain 15 percent this late in the election

We have told pundit enough of these polls unfortunately he has to stick to them.

I at times think Robina and pundit is just one person,they reason same on many issues. Good thing no one in mlima follows them,they tried 2007,13,17 and now 22 to change the narrative but wapi we only believe in ourselves. There will be a huge shock on 9 August,. If assmio gets even 15% kwa mlima that will be a miracle.

[RV Pundit]

The only difference btw me and you is objectivity; I can divorce myself from issues; I dont get emotional; I have called every kenya election save for 2007;

Just recently in 2010; I disagree with opinion pollster had Ruto at 33 percent against 67 percent; The final results was 32 versus 68%. Opinion polls had Nos at 20 percent and Yes at 80%..Infotrak was better had Nos at 25 percent.

I called Uhuru 1st round win - when all pollster where predicting run off - final results was 51 versus 45%. Then I called 2017 to the dot.

I can only do this because i am able to digest both positive and negative news.

They call themselves Pundits. Atleast for Robina her cluelessness can be justified by her being interested in politics as from 2016. RV with all the knowledge dont know why he likes beating around the bush.

[KenyanPlato]

njuri, kikuyus are actually very mad. they see uda vinyangarikas in the same lenses as mungiki. they equate them to those social misfits. no man or woman of repute wants to hear uda and it's thugs. haki ruto is going to lose vibaya sana. the 15% undecided are raila supporters who don't trust anyone and fear mungikis in uda may destroy their property..from 20th we are buying young people and sending them on trips to mombasa...

[KenyanPlato]

ruto voting block is gullible unwashed masses. they won't win

[Njuri Ncheke]

njuri, kikuyus are actually very mad. they see uda vinyangarikas in the same lenses as mungiki. they equate them to those social misfits. no man or woman of repute wants to hear uda and it's thugs. haki ruto is going to lose vibaya sana. the 15% undecided are raila supporters who don't trust anyone and fear mungikis in uda may destroy their property..from 20th we are buying young people and sending them on trips to mombasa...

Which Kikuyus? You are an elitist that form only a small percentage,Majority of Kikuyu over 85% will cast an anti dynasty votes, plato stay in Us forever nothing good for you in Kenya we will vaporize all Mlima dynasties and start from scratch,we want the Kenyatta betrayal of mau mau revenged.
Only stupid Kikuyus will think of voting baba in their mukimo head.

[Nowayhaha]

There is someone who has been saying Raila will win since 2007 through 2013 and 2017. Now he is saying GEMA will vote for Raila and he wants us to believe him. Get out of here

[Nowayhaha]

When we say RVPundit is not Ruto nor does he talk for Ruto

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2022-07-11-ignore-opinion-polls-theyre-manipulated-ruto/