What is there to still talk about 2022 - just the usual - RARUA will be rejected even in home county Kirinyanga where she stood no chance even at governorship. First she need to learn to SMILE
- because even if Waiguru was found with blood on her hands - she will smile her way out of it.
It will be epic loss - at best they can pull 30 of GEMA if they really work hard - that is just 8-9 percent of the total votes - while they have leaked more than 20 percent. Yet they had almost 10 percent gap with Ruto's Jubilee. It like you bridge the gap - but forget not to leak 20 percent.
I will do MOAS but I can almost guess it will be near 35 percent versus 55 percent - and 10 percent for kalonzo & gazillion independent candidates- Wajockay the bhangi dude will beat Martha 2013 figures by getting more than 100k.
Gordon Opiyo nails it.... Something is fatally wrong with Raila...cursed..
Yet another bout of useless hope in a journey to Nowhere...
One thing I must admit is this - Raila is a genius in keeping his army of jokers filled with hope... On that score, give him A++.
He can wake up and craft something that looks real... But if you look at it keenly you notice that hii ni Kalongo longo ya kawaida.. His only advantage is that his followers never interrogate these useless journeys...
Take for example... His first attempt to power... In 1982. He decided to overthrow Moi.... But, as with all his plans, it was deeply miscalculated...
He went to the Airforce.... You see, guys in the Airforce are usually not liked by the majority of the Soldiers. The Airmen feel superior and feel that they are literally above the others. If you want real power, you go to Artillery, Infantry and Tank Battalions... They have the numbers, means and skills to help you if you have a sinister plan like that of Raila in 1982... But the Mumia Curse drove him to the Airforce and you know how it ended.....
In his second attempt to take power, in 1997, instead of ganging up with Kibaki and Wamalwa Kijana, he went alone and finished a distant third. And in 1998, instead of joining Kibaki and Wamalwa and Ngilu, he went to Moi for the handshake.. This made him lose lots of goodwill and by 2002, when he was saying Kibaki Tosha, he was thoroughly weakened.
In third attempt to power in 2007 was actually his most successful, and he nearly made it.... He ticked the right boxes and was poised to win. However, two big blunders did him in. I his arrogance, caused by the Mumia Curse, he kicked out Kalonzo. Instead of sweet talking him, he simply told Kalonzo to F#$k off. This later turned out to be a huge blunder. Second, in his excitement, 80 days to the elections, he publicly announced that under his Presidency, he would cancel all bilateral Military and counter terrorism agreements with the United States..... No sane person ever makes such declarations, especially against Uncle Sam,..... And only someone under the Mumia Curse can do it... And the rest, they say, is history...
His fourth attempt to power can be summarized by the two elections against Uhuru and Ruto... Those of use who crunch numbers simply told him that in simple arithmetics, there was no way he would beat the tribal numbers Uhuru and Ruto assembled. Prof Mutahi Ngunyi called it Tyranny of Numbers... It was not Rocket Science.. But simple tribal arithmetics.... We were insulted in 2013 and 2017 when we explained that the numbers could not simply add up. Not that we hated the man from Mumias... But we simply said the truth...
His fifth attempt to power follows exactly the same path since 1982.... A path of creating false hope to a bamboozled group, yet the Mumia Curse leads him to make huge blunders....
His treatment of Kalonzo, just like he did in 2007 will be something he will live to regret. It's just a matter of time before reality sets in...
His fifth attempt to become the 5th President is befuddled in the same problem. It is a journey to nowhere... Same old tricks of creating hope, but numbers do not add up, and a cock and bull story shall be created to explain the loss.....