These guys--Duran--are great geopolitics analysts. Been going at it for over a year but I just recently discovered them.
I liked this comparison of the Russian narrative of the war and the Western narrative. It should be interesting to anyone following the war:
They make the same conclusion most people not imbibing MSM Kool-Aid 247 have made:
1) Russia has kept it's strategy and battle plans super secret, everyone's guessing about them up to this point.
2) They have concentrated on destroying Ukrainian military capacity, (air bases, ports, fuelling infrastructure etc) which they now say is about 85% destroyed. They pinned down Kyiv and other main cities, surrounding them but allowing water/food etc, even internet.
Their main aim
appears to have been preventing them providing aid to the 60/70,000 Azov guys in the East who were set and ready to attack Donbusk before the Russians went into Ukraine. In the East, they've cut off everything: no food/water etc going to those guys. They've mostly destroyed these guys. They've also destroyed key military areas in the West without taking over.
Now it appears for their phase 2, they'll take over remaining areas in the south to create a landbridge to their base in Moldovia, but all is speculation since they're not sharing their plans.
3) Western narrative: the Russians wanted to take Kyiv in massive shock-n-awe blitz in few days and have been stalled by unexpected resistance.
So far, it does not seem probable because the Russians have not even tried going into Kyiv or the other surrounded big cities. All they did was surround it and control who/what goes in/out while they concentrated on destroying military infrastructure all over and in the East, on destroying Azov forces. Now that that's mostly complete,(per Russians) no one knows what they'll do next.
4) They seem to be doggedly avoiding civilian casualties and extensive property destruction, except in Maripol, where 14,000 Azov guys had taken over the center. The Russians went in hard there. Hopefully, it doesn't repeat in other areas.