It's worth belaboring that I have studied kenya politics for 30yrs
And I can smell a bought politician from a mile.
Why did the Mps defect immediately MaDVD made the move?
Good politician wait for a few weeks to judge the reaction of the ground.
This the deathly quietness in Ukambani as people digest Kalonzo move.
And now why has defection stopped - did maDVD+Weta move stopped being unpopular?
You can see UDA defection continues because the ground swell support in GEMA in strong.
Those were test-tube babies moves by Gideon Moi - he thinks politics is boardroom games.
Move to Muranga - Muranga has been 80 percent for Ruto - only a bought politician on retainer will stick their neck out against 80 percent ground.
Muranga unlike Western are on a monthly retainer....so that explain why they have stuck...by PK of course hoping to make Raila DPORK
As regard UDA Mt Kenya - Mt kenya are ANGRY - the person who seizes that ANGER and run away - get it.
Gachagua has done that. He has fearless hit Kenyatta and displayed his MAU MAU regalia.
Alice Wahome has done also very well - so have Ndidis.
On a good day - if Uhuru had stuck with Kumi Kumi - Muranga would have had a strong case.
But this is WAR against Uhuru trying to stay in power using Raila.
In war people do not look for sijui Muranga turn - they look for the best warrior.
That happens to be Ruto and Gachagua.
Kiunjuri screwed himself up big time by being afraid. The rest damaged themselves by playing 50-50 - so only those 100 percent opposed to Muthamaki dyansties in mt kenya will make it
Again - you need to understand POLITICS and the EMOTIONS around it.
Politics is rarely rational - it's about feelings - it's NOT about education or bla bla. It's like LOVE. It business of playing with masses emotions - of fear, anger, hope, betrayal - and these politicians do sway by investing in propaganda - either feel good propaganda or fear-mongering propaganda.
Good politician are good in propaganda - in raising people emotions.
Munya is better than PK in that sense,
Raila is excellent in propaganda.
Ruto is excellent because he is gifted in propaganda - what Uhuru now calls "Mkora". That is why Ruto turned ICC 360 degrees the Mzungu is still dazed. But I had seen him sell the SKUNK OF KANU in 90s and knew the guy is gifted salesmen in politics of emotions.
And it NOT just propaganda that Ruto excel in - he is also a schemer - brilliant 1st class student UON awarded master scholarship now with PHD in science but who understand more social science
- who can think on his feet - can talk a storm - a natural leader - and that is why in 2001 I told my friend in UON campus hall - Ruto is going far - he was 35yr old then. It just few months before he crown his politics by winning PORK in his maiden run.
So now ati Murang'a MPs have been bought by Munga and SK Macharia? Luhya MPs have been bought by Atwoli & Gideon. Pundit why can't Gideon equally buy off a few Gusii - seems Ruto has only Osoro and Machogu there. Can't Muthama buy a few Kamba MPs? Why is the buying only in Kikuyu and Luhya?
The truth is, ground allows them to stick to Azimio - especially PK DPORK. It is why Ndindi and Wahome are on Ruto cards. At 75% there is no need to disappoint the hard-working Gachagua.