You enjoy my punditry when I am predicting good stuff for you part.
But you dont like me explaining what Livondo kind of talk will eventually lead to?
You can bury your head in the sand but dirty politics can get dangerous if not managed.
I clearly dont need to keep repeating nasty war scenarios every few months.
Please use the search function.
The capacity of both sides are well known.
If Uhuru and his group play rough - dont think Ruto will play nice forever.
He is only playing nice because it's in his interest to play nice - if he was to lose Mt Kenya votes - you'll see another Ruto and a different Kalenjin political landscape. For now the daggers are hidden.
But if you rig him or compromise the supreme court or attempt to kill him - you think he will play Mr Nice
Some of us predicted 2007 violence but nobody listened. You rig and you burn kenya. Naah just few Luos will throw stones and we are back to the streets. That is scenario of 2013 and 2017 - and I made such prediction. Not 2007 or 2022. The players are different.
You were busy with Kibaki is in charge of security and bla de bla. 48hrs later you have 600K people evicted. Ruto is dead man walking songs for 3yrs.
In short - NJuri still water run deep - Uhuru is putting one leg - I hope he doesnt jump with both legs.
Ruto is in this to win - and he wont accept anything that is less than credible election.
Kalenjin are nice people - until they are not nice
. You wont tell when they flip. It's my job here to help you understand.
Uhuru-Ruto war is MAD - mutually assured destruction - just like Russia/USA war.
As for capacity - when you win in West Pokot -
- come and I will tell you more.
Maybe you think - the war will always be fought with arrows - what if it becomes guns, grenades and bombs?
What if military and police force split - with weapons split?
What if Museveni and Salva Kiir send 10,000 guns.
That is when you'll know Kalenjin ni moto ya kuotea mbali. You have well trained millions of soldiers with a cause. They just need small weapon upgrade and no police will go to RV - KDF yes. Sio Mungiki which you need to mobilize. This is almost entire community flipping into a military mode....1st of all forget about Kenya gov ever stepping in rift valley....hiyo sahau...secession is like default day one achieved. You will be needing heavy military escort during the day - if there are no guns involved. Otherwise at night - you'd be killed.
Again - like Farah Maalim said - when you're dealing with Ruto and Kalenjin - remember these is not Raila and Luos that you can play around - rig them left right - and kill them. This is whole different BALLGAME. These are people who will transform into a army in a second.....and it's not small community....it huge.
Pundit I don't know what mursik you drink on daily basis but just to bring you to reality so called 2 Million kalenjim worriors don't have capacity to wage civil war in Kenya apart from kalenjin RV where else can you gain territory??? Be objective not petty.
