Handshake versus UDA in upcoming polls

[RV Pundit]

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Look like UDA may take Matungu, Kabuchai and most of the MCA seats.

Matungu - still 3 horse race btw Nalondo, Lanya and Were
Kabuchai - 2 horse race btw Majimbo and Kakai.

As for MCAs seat in Jubilee zone - nobody want to hear about Tuju-Murathe Jubilee - it's UDA all the way


ODM which is now just but a glorified NDP withdraws - everywhere except Matungu - and maybe Gusii MCA seat.

Machakos - 3 horse race btw Wiper, UDA and MCC.

Bottomline - UDA is everywhere.

https://nation.africa/kenya/news/politics/odm-pulls-out-of-london-hell-s-gate-ward-by-elections-to-back-jubilee--3306644

[Nowayhaha]

Pole pole we nawe...

Look like UDA may take Matungu, Kabuchai and most of the MCA seats.

Matungu - still 3 horse race btw Nalondo, Lanya and Were
Kabuchai - 2 horse race btw Majimbo and Kakai.

As for MCAs seat in Jubilee zone - nobody want to hear about Tuju-Murathe Jubilee - it's UDA all the way


ODM which is now just but a glorified NDP withdraws - everywhere except Matungu - and maybe Gusii MCA seat.

Machakos - 3 horse race btw Wiper, UDA and MCC.

Bottomline - UDA is everywhere.

https://nation.africa/kenya/news/politics/odm-pulls-out-of-london-hell-s-gate-ward-by-elections-to-back-jubilee--3306644

[RV Pundit]

Siasa haifai tumbo joto.

Pole pole we nawe...

[gout]

Some analysis on London ward from Facebook -  the tribal maths are insightful.

London Ward by elections is hard to predict who will carry the day between the top 3 aspirants who are:
1.Njosh
2.Nzuki
3.Gatusso
Fact findings..
Total registered voters is slightly above 18,000
Breakdown as per tribe,:
1.Kikuyus-6112
2.Kisiis-4532
3.Kalenjins_3523
4.Luos-1583
5.Kambas-1248
6.Luhyas-1123
7. Others eg Turkana, Maasai_250
My prediction...
Assuming vote turnout is 50 percentage, save for Kalenjins and Kisiis who cos of Aramah support and UDA love turn 70 percent,
A_Kisiis by majority will vote Njosh
B-Kalenjins to the last will vote for Nzuki cos of Ruto love
C -Kikuyus votes might be shared equally among the 3 but Gatuso gets higher number
D.-Luos, coz of BABA reqqae and Aramah love adding withdraw of their candidate they will vote for Nuosh
E.-Kambas and Luhyas might be shared equally.
F.Gatusso will have a higher number of votes from those independent minds who don't follow kingpins or tribe voting block.
In conclusion Njosh is slightly leading cos of Kisiis and Luo block vote before they coshare the rest.
Note _ if any of this 3 top aspirants fails to mobilise well his supporters to go and vote he will be shocked how he will loose terribly.
Finally Arama might have the last laugh against Tangatanga.
Any different opinion welcomed to oppose this but without feelings.

https://www.facebook.com/kinyanjui.wakibara/posts/245120000588225

[RV Pundit]

He is wrong that kikuyu votes will be shared equally. There has been two MCAs seats already in muranga and naivasha were Jubilee lost. Jubilee is odious. GEMA votes will vote like 70% for UDA and 30% for Jubilee. So UDA carry the seat.

Some analysis on London ward from Facebook -  the tribal maths are insightful.

[gout]

It is hard to achieve dispassionate analysis in tribal maths. The analyst is a handshake person

The hasora branding is quite irresistible. London ward just like most suburbs near main towns are home to hasora- landloards, tenants, kiosk owners and all.

[RV Pundit]

Machakos ndio iko shida but it's on 18th march but UDA/Kuria party will be competitive tomorrow. Machakos seems Muthama personalized it - and therefore unless Hustler Nation sweep on 4th - and use the momentum in Ukambani - it may escape.

It is hard to achieve dispassionate analysis in tribal maths. The analyst is a handshake person

The hasora branding is quite irresistible. London ward just like most suburbs near main towns are home to hasora- landloards, tenants, kiosk owners and all.

[Arcadian_Dreamer]

What a waste of time and resources politicking in Kenya is. Unemployed young men just milling about doing nothing listening to empty political speeches from opportunists who want to loot the country's coffers.

[RV Pundit]

Look like Uganda; Uhuru dying Jubilee party and their handshake partners using all state coercion; 2022 will be hard.
https://twitter.com/OleItumbi

[RV Pundit]

More chaos and arrests as Deep State uses the police to fight Hustler Nation. I wonder how they intend to pull such in a general election or a referendum.

[Njuri Ncheke]

More chaos and arrests as Deep State uses the police to fight Hustler Nation. I wonder how they intend to pull such in a general election or a referendum.

It will be a sad ending for gatheca mlima has turned against him and you can see in social media guys threatening to liquidate him and they are Kikuyus because they are just totally disillusioned. Gatheca can't rig refrendum and kura he has to choose 1 and the one he chooses will still be monumental guy has no soft landing. When you hear kikuyus threatening him..........

[RV Pundit]

I can understand the anger at how Uhuru is mismanaging his transition and is setting kenya for big war in 2022 - and people who will suffer the most are kikuyus obviously - because once it starts - they will be at receiving end.

It will be a sad ending for gatheca mlima has turned against him and you can see in social media guys threatening to liquidate him and they are Kikuyus because they are just totally disillusioned. Gatheca can't rig refrendum and kura he has to choose 1 and the one he chooses will still be monumental guy has no soft landing. When you hear kikuyus threatening him..........

[Nowayhaha]

I think for once in a very longtime Mt Kenyas are in the right side of history .Yes in 2022 there is a probability of a war if Uhuru does not change how he is managing the country and the politics being aided by Raila . The people in receiving end are very well known , however ICC will come knocking the door and this time around people will refuse to be used to shield the perpetuators .
With Khan at the helm of prosecutors office , he very well understands Kenyan politics .

I can understand the anger at how Uhuru is mismanaging his transition and is setting kenya for big war in 2022 - and people who will suffer the most are kikuyus obviously - because once it starts - they will be at receiving end.

It will be a sad ending for gatheca mlima has turned against him and you can see in social media guys threatening to liquidate him and they are Kikuyus because they are just totally disillusioned. Gatheca can't rig refrendum and kura he has to choose 1 and the one he chooses will still be monumental guy has no soft landing. When you hear kikuyus threatening him..........

[RV Pundit]

Malala and his goons
https://www.facebook.com/PIDONAS/videos/10223963857061025/

[RV Pundit]

Uda tallying centre https://uda.ke/results/all/?fbclid=IwAR0DZYPSQWrkOwEXjt767xe46hrGcaXehViynTcpYFnhZMpeHA-mCy2TTsQ

[RV Pundit]

Uda wins london ward with dying jubilee competing with moses kuria PEP.Dying jubilee pulled all stops including handshake partners withdrawal.

[gout]

Just because elitist do not take time to understand rural and slum economies does not mean these people should have no say in politics. It is democracy. Those young men are strong and healthy running around very jovial. Politics is their entertainment not their lives. Employment is not the end of life.

Reason those employed Trumpians were in the Capitol.

What a waste of time and resources politicking in Kenya is. Unemployed young men just milling about doing nothing listening to empty political speeches from opportunists who want to loot the country's coffers.

[Nowayhaha]

And thats the former Jubilee zone . Still you will here ODMers saying  Uhuru controls former Jubilee zones  once he talks they will listen .

Uda wins london ward with dying jubilee competing with moses kuria PEP.Dying jubilee pulled all stops including handshake partners withdrawal.

[RV Pundit]

Matungu ni odm v anc..uda imelaba jini

[RV Pundit]

Lanya climbing https://uda.ke/results/all/?fbclid=IwAR0DZYPSQWrkOwEXjt767xe46hrGcaXehViynTcpYFnhZMpeHA-mCy2TTsQ