Coast shifting from Raila to Ruto

[RV Pundit]

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The last jigsaw is falling in place - with this - Ruto will be like Moi of 1990s - can easily score 40% alone. He will only need 10% to cross the 50% mark.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2021-01-06-how-ruto-plans-to-penetrate-enemy-territory/

[Nowayhaha]

Coast with expception of Mombasa is gone. In Kilifi thanks to Handshake and BBI Ruto will get around 55% of the votes .Tana River, Lamu, Kwale were already under Ruto .and he will manage more than 80% .Taita Taveta is now the place to watch If he plays his politics well he might tip it to 80%like the  aforementioned counties if not he might settle for 60%.

Now the honarary mention is Kilifi the popular non elected and elected candidates are with Ruto and rumours are Kingi has defected from ODM. Its elephant there .
Mombasa due to Diaspora Luo Nyanza ODM has an upperhand . The Kisumu ndogos are too many and continue to grow and for along time the county will be an extension of Luo Nyanza.

The last jigsaw is falling in place - with this - Ruto will be like Moi of 1990s - can easily score 40% alone. He will only need 10% to cross the 50% mark.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2021-01-06-how-ruto-plans-to-penetrate-enemy-territory/

[Nowayhaha]

https://nation.africa/kenya/news/politics/ruto-regional-political-kingpins-quest-presidency-3248442

At the Coast, the DP, buoyant after the Msambweni Constituency by-election win, a mini-poll Mr Joho had described as a measure of his rising popularity against Dr Ruto, is seeking to stamp even more authority at the six-county region previously seen as behind ODM boss Raila Odinga.

“For the record, the over one-decade political dominance of ODM in Coast has been the most disastrous and catastrophic era for the region in independent Kenya,” 11 MPs allied to the DP at the Coast said on Monday.

“ODM sunk a region struggling to emerge from the yoke of marginalisation into the abyss of mediocrity, bad governance and poor leadership largely witnessed by the election of the types of Hassan Joho,” they said.

[RV Pundit]

Yes the battle is on Mombasa and Kilifi. Joho-Kingi coalition is still kicking there elsewhere they are dead or dying. I think Kingi will eventually move out. As for Mombasa - Mijikenda if they don't get governorship in ODM - Joho and Raila already sold the seat to billionaire Suleiman - so expect revolt - Mijikenda make 35% of Mombasa - Luos and Kamba follow with nearly 20% each - and then Luhya, GEMA, Gusii, Swahilis,Arabs - etc - all are each about 10%.

The Luo-Mijikenda alliance to benefit of Joho has ruled Mombasa since 2007 - but that I believe is about to change - if Muthama-Mvurya can forge a Mijikenda-Kamba alliance - they need a strong Mijikenda leader.

Coast with expception of Mombasa is gone. In Kilifi thanks to Handshake and BBI Ruto will get around 55% of the votes .Tana River, Lamu, Kwale were already under Ruto .and he will manage more than 80% .Taita Taveta is now the place to watch If he plays his politics well he might tip it to 80%like the  aforementioned counties if not he might settle for 60%.

Now the honarary mention is Kilifi the popular non elected and elected candidates are with Ruto and rumours are Kingi has defected from ODM. Its elephant there .
Mombasa due to Diaspora Luo Nyanza ODM has an upperhand . The Kisumu ndogos are too many and continue to grow and for along time the county will be an extension of Luo Nyanza.

The last jigsaw is falling in place - with this - Ruto will be like Moi of 1990s - can easily score 40% alone. He will only need 10% to cross the 50% mark.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2021-01-06-how-ruto-plans-to-penetrate-enemy-territory/