Sonko has not filed a petition on his eligibility as an impeachee - which indicates he doesn't intend to vie. Waiting to apply as independent candidate and run to court when IEBC decline - is poor strategy. Obviously he might do that but for sympathy votes not really to win. The sympathies and crocodile tears he will sell to Ruto for huge premium - that look like the real payoff now - to milk Ruto who is desperate to knick Nairobi.
Deep state of course will ask him to lie low - not back anyone- in exchange for freedom and continue blind eye to his open drug routes. Or else.
It basically who has more carrots vs sticks to offer
- nothing remotely patriotic about the goon.