That funny- is this spin or denial? - hope at least you don't lie to yourself.
NASA is intact- Kalonzo is the biggest BBI cheerleader. He is very happy after NEC approved it unanimously. Mdvd has been offered DPM and is sulking in the tent. Catch him dead canoodling with Mobutu - a bad omen in Western. Even hopeless Weta cannot join Mobutu. If you follow your own logic that Maang'i is a nobody- I wonder what you think of Mobutu chances in western? Washiali and Barasa and loser Khalwale. Entire creme is BBI. The match there is actually Mdvd vs Oparanya - Mobutu is DOA. Wait for the Mumias by-election and hustler wave will mysteriously go mute.
Jubilee mean machine... hehe. Let say Jubilee bedrock was RVGema. Now of course Gema have bolted. Uhuru and entire creme openly drumming Raila. Now of course you can regale with "ground" - but you have NIS report
- any real contest Mobutu and Kurias duck. I told you there are by elections all over - Nyoro bedroom Kiharu, Naivasha, Kahawa Sukari - hustler wave is MIA. It literally Jubilee (Kieleweke) vs ODM in Kahawa. 2012 Mobutu was dying to showcase URP in MCA and cattle dip chairman duels.
The truth is Mobutu is struggling to hold together URP as Lonyangapuos scatter. Poghisio was URP now he is Kanu with all Pokots. Ali Robas and Yattanis and Keynans. Which Jubilee laity is this you have in mind? "Ground"? Raila took off with TNA Gema + Gusii). Ruto has few Nyoros and Kuria - exactly as Kanu 2002 with Uhuru and Karume in Kiambu.
You sound like Kalonzo who thought taking ODM nameplate was taking the party. After realizing his folly - he changed it to a car wiper . Jubilee is intact under Ruto. Those engaging Raila are signing their retirement early. NASA is dead as dodo.
Nothing has changed.
2005 - Gema vs non-Gema
2010 - NARC vs URP
2022 is 2002/2010 redux. Trojan has hived off TNA and retained NASA bulk. Jubilee Asili is URP.
It will get overwhelming rejected - and that rejection -will be an indictment of his gov and legacy. It has no path to victory. if Ruto could get 30% in 2010 against insanely popular COK 2010 - this BBI is dead on arrival. Ruto and team had minor issues on abortion, gay rights. But this one has MAJOR MAJOR FLAWS. After spending maybe 30B - it's fortune will improve to 30% - from 18% - as 70% of Kenyan vote NO.
Kenyans are very progressive people. They are not ugandans or tanzanians. They will reject a retrogressive document without much a do.
Kibaki tried this in 2005 - bringing Kilifi draft - it was huge embarrassment.
And how does Uhuru soil his legacy? BBI correct the Kilifi and Naivasha ukora by Mpigs - restore Bomas and CoE drafts. BBI edges Kenya towards parliamentary federalism - a proper model that Pundit vouches for in the few times he breaks free of the tribal yoke.
BBI is the best legacy Uhuru Kenyatta can bequeath Kenya.