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Author Topic: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party  (Read 3787 times)

Offline KenyanPlato

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BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« on: November 02, 2020, 02:27:06 AM »
Biden will Win 13 counties in PA and carry the state with 52% of the vote at minimum. Trump will win 54 counties carrying 48% of the vote.

I modeled my MOAS using 2000 primary and 2016 votes

my assumptions are

Trump only carries 94% of republican vote plus Libertarian votes in 2016

Biden gets 6% of Republicans and all the other 3 party candidates votes.

The goal of NEVER Trumpers has been to reduce Trump to 86% of Battle ground state. It is a project called PROJECT CRUSH Yellow Orange in Florida

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 02:46:39 AM »
I hope trump loses; he is wrecking havoc on international bodies - WHO, WTO, UN, ICC- name them. And that is my interest.

Trump is good for short while to remind liberals to care about the bottomline -  his short-sightedness and private sector profit making mind is good but long term nope.

The time for Biden to go in for 5yrs.

In this COVID-19 period - the world is crying for a leader like Obama.

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 03:08:16 AM »
Current Voter registration by Senate District

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 10:44:58 AM »
NH
?s=19

Overall two precincts show that Trump lost 8% of the 2016 vote. This is bad. If Trump loses his 2016 support by even 1% he is finished. Republicans against Trump have spent millions precisely they had 11 million to try and sway 11% of Republicans in Florida to vote for Biden. We will find out tonight how this worked. NH shows this has produced results

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 02:01:12 PM »
Trump will lose.

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 02:59:01 PM »

Fukuzeni Trump.

Yes Trump will lose big time

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 05:59:18 PM »
Plato I see you also find these NRM history clips interesting :) .  These were literally bushmen at war and they have preserved their history in much better form than our VOK/KBC.

That aside, all eyes are on Pennsylvania.  If Philly shows up, Biden will just need to be mildly competitive elsewhere and it's lights out.  Trump will of course not concede, which would otherwise lead to a redefinition of malignant narcissism  :D .  We may need to look elsewhere, I am thinking Upper Midwest, for entertainment tonight.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 09:52:49 PM »
Bitmask

Those videos fill me with happiness

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 03:55:10 AM »

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 04:31:01 AM »
Florida key County Biden is leading by 8%

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 07:20:31 AM »
It is going to the wire

Biden 209 ..61 to win..

I think Trump may tie it and then we go to representative house and wins it there

White America has rejected multiculturalism

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 08:39:13 AM »
PA, WI, MI.  They alll say they won’t be done counting for days.  Election Day votes are counted before mail-in and early votes.  The former favor Trump, the later Biden.  This means GOP will go all out to stop the count.  The election could be in the hands of the courts in hours.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 08:43:27 AM »
Quote from: KenyanPlato on November 04, 2020, 07:20:31 AM
It is going to the wire

Biden 209 ..61 to win..

I think Trump may tie it and then we go to representative house and wins it there

White America has rejected multiculturalism

Of course.  A majority of them always have.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 09:39:34 AM »
NE-2, the district with Omaha, has gone to Biden.  That means he can reach 270 even if he loses PA by winning WI and MI.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 06:11:22 PM »
Biden takes the lead in MI.  Outstanding ballots favor him.  It's starting to look like his blue wall strategy was well advised.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2020, 06:16:06 PM »
Quote from: KenyanPlato on November 04, 2020, 07:20:31 AM
It is going to the wire

Biden 209 ..61 to win..

I think Trump may tie it and then we go to representative house and wins it there

White America has rejected multiculturalism

That possibility died with NE-2.  GOP strategists must to be in a major conundrum.  The plan, I think, was to suppress the count of mail-in and absentee ballots, then push a fraud narrative and try to stop it in courts, as the states shift to blue with the delayed count.  But with Biden in the lead, stopping the count now is suicidal.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline GeeMail

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2020, 08:17:04 AM »
Suicidal? That's the whole point. GOPs had anticipated the scenario where mail ballots flip the count, so this is the stage to block them.
Celebratory violence: 2017 crime invented to justify killings to prevent Raila from becoming PORK. http://www.nipate.com/download/file.php?id=4244

Offline Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2020, 12:08:25 PM »
Quote from: GeeMail on November 05, 2020, 08:17:04 AM
Suicidal? That's the whole point. GOPs had anticipated the scenario where mail ballots flip the count, so this is the stage to block them.

With Biden ahead, how does stopping the count help Trump? There are statutory deadlines to be met with these counts and those tend to favor whoever is ahead.   It may make sense in PA, where Trump is ahead, but is dumb in MI.
"I freed a thousand slaves.  I could have freed a thousand more if only they knew they were slaves."

Harriet Tubman

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2020, 12:21:38 PM »
?s=19

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: BATTLE GROUND WATCH Party
« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2020, 11:28:35 AM »
18k votes for Biden to take lead in PA. It seems like whoever wins will just get 1% more.. Today we get the final results and this weekend we celebrate the winner
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