Real Bibi Yao. There is another bibi yao bonoko being peddled by tangawizi group of miscreants
https://www.bbi.go.ke/Haven't finished reading this bibi ya kambo thing.
My take the govt is not serious. This document is meant to manufacture consent. Uhururao see this as an opportunity for the 3 camps to politically fight it out while they assess from the sidelines. Their goal is to read everyones playbook and use it to their advantage.
Here are the possible playbooks for the 4 camps.
1. Camp ruto..aka TT. They have been presented with something like kilifi draft. It is a big stick that uhuru is yielding. He is saying you need to oppose this and win or i impose an imperial presidency on you. The gut reaction of this camp is to oppose bibi yao with all they got. Losing is not an option. If they win then they have to present a better bibi yao that they will introduce post 2022. The risks with this is that ruto has now to spend 2 years fighting a flawed document imposed on him and still figure a way to win in 2022. Bibi yao has effectively ruined his hustler momentum.
He has now to spend funds on a game that is meant to drain him and confuse his base
2) kieweleke..this camp want to have its cake and eat it. They know the current katiba leaves them in a very tight corner. If they lose to ruto he will run circles around them for another 10yrs. They want uhuru to introduce a parliamentary system with a ceremonial president. They rejected bomas draft because the shoe was on kibakis foot. Now they want raila and uhuru to give them back what they trashed. Risk is that this group is relying on uhururao winning against ruto. If they uhururao give up this group is cooked. This group role is now to fix what is unpopular with bibi yao and sell it masses. Their life is hanging on a thin thread. They are on a political cliff dangling towards the ocean
3) former nasa supporters..they have similar views with Kieleweke but theirs is on need of equity and equality. They want a parliamentary system to devolve more power to their regions and to protect them from tyranny of the big five tribes. They would like a pure federal system. To them their land rights and other rights are better protected by their ethnic nation. They want all the power they can get to protect their ethnic nations from expansionist ethnic nations such as kikuyus, luos and luhyias..
4) uhururao..they are using bibi yao as a smoke screen to see what all these other 3 groups want and to be able as a marionette using state power to play them to their own advantage.
In summary ruto has to oppose bibi yao and offer a better one to win 2022.
Kieleweke must team up with former nasa group and hope they can come up with a better bibi yao to sell to the masses now or during 2022 campaigns
Raouhuru have advantage until if the 3 groups merge and take them on. If this happens knowing raila he will abandon uhuru.
So it to me this is a game of musical chairs. My advise dance it to your advantage.
Ruto got some hill to climb because the beehive keeps on moving up the sycamore tree. He got fight every other creature between the tree trunk and its peak