I was surprised to note only Nyoro and Wahome support Mobutu in the entire Murang’a. The rest are Kieleweke. According to the Nipate dominatrix the reverse is ttue.
Robina,
You need to concentrate with your so called " Punditry" . You certainly cannot understand Muranga politics and partly the reason Murathe convinced Peter Kenneth , it was easier to win in Nairobi as Muranga was a sealed deal .
You claim Ruto rigged in his associates . Wairia had prepared himself well in advance in anticipation of of PKs candidature in Muranga .
So Murang'a is so complex that most MPs oppose Mobutu despite the hustler wave? 
But at least this is a better spin than claiming all leaders but Ndindi are scared of KRA. The entire Mt Kenya Mobutu now only has a handful of backers - especially Kikuyuland - his rabid tours all over show panic.
WaIria and team through a network of MCAs and their assistants stuffed ballots boxex with premarked papers during Jubilee nominations in 2017 Secondly note that a substantial number of former Mps decided to run for Governor and Senate Posts , this gave room to the first term MPs who majority came in through Wa irias machinery .
Now Wairia and his team have formed a party (Civic Renewal Party CRP) and are preparing to negotiate with Raila hence the commotion to popularize it. Ive told you before forget about current elected poltiticians the probabilty of them making it back in 10 out of 100 % . The Irias , Sabina Checges , Kangata know about it hence theyve taken the route of going it with their own party ,of course they know because the ground is tilted to Rutos favour then their main competitors will be Ruto .
One thing theyve forgotten out of all Mt Kenya counties , Muranga is tops in its hate against Raila , their is hate with passion , secondly Muranga is the hotbed of Mungiki due to poverty ,it will come after them as you saw in Kenol .
Once again stop conflating MPig churn with political currency. Even Sudi or Jumwa might not make it back and this would have nothing to do with Uhuru, Mobutu or Raila. If you look at the MP ratings a nondescript Omboko Milemba was top performer and the residents didn't raise ANC or BBI as important. Local CDF, bursary, etc issues.
All said - the exodus of GEMA MPs, MCAs, etc from Mobutu is googlable. When the civil war started it was only a handful of Wambugu, Wamuchomba, Maoka and Kigano opposing Mobutu. Then defections hit the headlines - there were threads here on Nipate - now only a few diehards are left.
Moses Kuria tested the waters with Transformative party something. Those folded due to the overbearing Mobutu-Uhuru mayhem. Kuria and Wa Iria are also rather colorless outside the immediate localities. They firmly behind their masters now.
No, 70% of GEMA will not back Raila. Whatever the number will go to their own man - Uhuru stooge PK. Tangatanga could not sustain the Raila vs Mobutu rhetoric since Raila was last seen there with Uhuru at PK mother funeral. 2019. Now the evil spirit is strictly Matiang'i, Kibicho and I think Mama Ngina - even Jezebel got a break. It is going very well and Raila will not interfere.
Mobutu is divesting in Gusii, Mijikenda and Kamba. Tough luck.
You are contradicting yourself , on one hand you imply by being a big player politician with a following of several elected politicians imply popularity on ground on the other had you go and by having a following of elected mps does not add any political currency .
Truth of the matter for MPs it all boils down in clinching party certificate by winning nominations on the most popular party of the region . All the rest a second and after to this fact . Its a known fact how to win the nominations its an array of methods , like in Mombasa it was how close and how much one would pay Joho , In Kilifi it was pure thuggery , In Muranga it was Wairiasa rigging machinery , In Nairobi bribing and thuggery , previously in Luo Nyanza it was sycophancy now its pure curruption , name it .
My point is tone down on this narrative you are trying to create that elected MPS following a national leader implies that the national leader is popular and this will translate to votes in the General elections . Especially taking into consideration the upcoming General elections will be a regime change elections , a new crop of leadership will emerge , forget WaIrias and Sabina chege , they hold no traction even in Muranga .
Now coming to PK , he had a good chance of being Governor of Nairobi in 2013 he wasted it through the drain by miscalculations , another good chance of being Governor of Muranga in 2017 he was deceived by his nemesis and instead promised to be rigged in Nairobi which diminished his stature . I personally told him in his face , if you will not be around Rutos team forget it . Its upto him , another thing to note its not that PK is very popular in Mt Kenya , first he is seen as a mzungu , secondly even in 2013 elections d you know Raila beat PK in his constituency Gatanga he polled 923 votes against railas 5,287 and Uhurus 61,214 . Now tell me this is a person you think can hack it in the national field . Revisit the previous Kingpins Kibakis 92,97 and Uhurus 2002 Perfomance and you will see you are living in lala land
