Pundito,you need to take some leave coz at this rate you will go mad.You have been peddling theories here since 2013 left,right and centre.You even claimed Uhuru will step down for Ruto 3 months prior to 2022 elections.All your predictions are falling flat.The only consistent theory you have is GEMA will never support Raila.
Fast foward,we are in 2020 Uhuru is showing no sign of tosharing Ruto,he has frustrated Ruto left ,right, centre,he has been chased out of mombasa official residence,his lietanants removed from key party positions,mau evictions,kibichos,murathes,gitaus used to undermine him,roles transferred to matiangi,budget slashed,executive order on precidency and many more.Yet you still believe that Uhuru and by extension gema will support Ruto.What is soo hard for you and kalenjins to believe that you have been played big time,not once,not twice.Pick up the pieces and accept reality.
on to Raila,i still insist that Uhuru nor gema have no good plans for him just as they dont have for Ruto.But unlike Ruto and kalenjins,Raila and his luos do not loose anything because after all kikuyus have never supported him,if anything he stands to gain much from a divided jubilee.Besides Raila has his political bases intact,vis nyanza,western,nairobi and coast.Raila interest here is to divide jubilee and ensure Kalenjin wing of jubilee Ruto goes south,while kikuyu wing goes north.
Now back to Ruto,he needs uhuru and jubilee more than uhuru needs him.Thats a plain fact.Dont tell us about ground,Kenya poltics is tribal and it will never change with Ruto.Gema will go with Uhuru,take that to bank.For now Ruto has no party,he will be forced to defect with his kalenjin wing to revive URP of another outfit may be jubilee kenya,jubilee Eldoret or asili,i dont care.thats already a blow to his ambitions,he will be playing catch up with Raila and Uhuru.You dont form a party 5 months to elections and expect to win.
Ruto thinks Raila is the enemy but i disagree,he needs to look at the bigger picture,he is fighting an imaginary enemy,his enemy no 1 is Uhuru and gema.he should focus his lenses beyond Raila.
Digest.