Robina - Raila has the sisyphus syndrome

[RV Pundit]

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My late father use to like the moniker - monkey on the back to refer to Raila. He use to tell people if they can afford to carry a monkey on their back. Kalenjin have that saying - the monkey is impossible to please or to get off your back once you let him on.

Now look at them going for Ole KIna - after all that Mau forest and Narok BBI - raising Maasai nationalism - they want old dead Prof Ongeri.

Ole Kina would be the future of ODM - but now he will cut the deal with Ruto.

The same way they lost Wetangula - the last Bukusu supporting Raila. Bar Sifuna and the two Bukusu here

Same way he lost Ruto, MaDVD and Kalonzo.

Raila is cursed...cannot consolidate...has to start afresh...with new friends...NOT GOOD enough.


https://www.nation.co.ke/news/politics/ODM-dewhips-Narok-Senator-Ledama-ole-Kina/1064-5545666-5wkp76/index.html

[Nefertiti]

That funny for a diehard Ruto supporter like you. Your boy Ruto has no frined left - his most influential ally now is maybe Duale. Even hopeless Mdvd openly refuse to coalesce with Ruto.

Ole Kina should toe the party line - he is almost like Miguna barking at everyone. Ole Kina of course cannot cut any deal with Ruto - cause Mau. His strategy is to ride Maa nationalism ala Ntimama - so he needs to stoke grievances esp Mau - but he is broke, paperweight and hare-brained. Kina attack everyone - Kalenjin, Kikuyu, Luo - name it.. He accuse everyone of stealing Maa ancestral or communal land and Kipsigis of draining Mau. Another Miguna.

As you can see he is unreliable guy who stub ODM in the back for mere committee chair. Raila despite clocking 80 soon is savvy - you don't let a shaky character like ole Kina chair PAIC - crucial committee.This is the right move for Raila/ODM - de-whip ole Kina then bribe him with some smaller committee - which is more suited to his unbankable rumbling persona.

[RV Pundit]

If he can get Kipsigis vote in Narok - he is shoe-in. That is leverage Ruto has. Kipsigis want the governorship. They have been deputy governor. Ruto can cut a deal for kipsigis (Ngeno) to go for Senate and let Maasai (Ole Kina) win governoship.

Kipsigis last were like 120k to 130k maasai votes in 2013  - now it's probably down to 50:50.

Raila is being a fool here to give Ole Kina away that easily. His only hope in Maa land.

But honestly I want kipsigis to go rogoue and win the governorship.  Maasai will as always split into clans...and btw Ngeno and Aruasi...Narok can go...and Ole Ole will cry real tears.

That funny for a diehard Ruto supporter like you. Ole Kina should toe the party line - he is almost like Miguna barking at everyone. Ole Kina of course cannot cut any deal with Ruto - cause Mau. His strategy is to ride Maa nationalism ala Ntimama - but he is broke, paperweight and hare-brained. Kina attack everyone - Kalenjin, Kikuyu, Luo - name it. Like Miguna.

As you can see he is unreliable guy who stub ODM in the back for mere committee chair. Raila despite clocking 80 soon is savvy - you don't let a shaky character like ole Kina chair PAIC - crucial committee.This is the right move for Raila/ODM - de-whip ole Kina then bribe him with some smaller committee - which is more suited to his unbankable rumbling persona.

[Nefertiti]

Raila main card now is Handshake alliance with Uhuru. Ongeri is old Uhuru Kanu man only forced into ODM by hostile anti-Jubilee ground in Gusii 2013. Raila should and will do anything to sustain the Uhuru partnership. That his only card against Ruto.

Worrying about naive, paperweight ole Kina... is waste of time. It more useful to control PAIC than court ole Kina. With Uhuru cronyism ODM cannot lose Maa - likes of Lenku are Uhuru damu. Then Tobikos. Lenku was handpicked from flipping burgers at Utalii Hotel to national politics and is very grateful. Without GoK cronyism Ruto will find it very hard to string big tribal alliance outside of Kalenjin. I doubt even Nanok and Turkana will follow him.

If he can get Kipsigis vote in Narok - he is shoe-in. That is leverage Ruto has. Kipsigis want the governorship. They have been deputy governor. Ruto can cut a deal for kipsigis (Ngeno) to go for Senate and let Maasai (Ole Kina) win governoship.

Kipsigis last were like 120k to 130k maasai votes in 2013  - now it's probably down to 50:50.

Raila is being a fool here to give Ole Kina away that easily. His only hope in Maa land.

[patel]

All these politicians are bought..ole kina just like passaris were planted moles in ODM. These kind of politicians are planted here and there to give some illusions of free and fair elections. Handshake will kill political career...stay tuned

[Njuri Ncheke]

Raira is a man who lives for the moment Prof Ali Mazrui described him perfectly, he is a good tactician but lacks the intellect. Ole Kina the loud mouth now will be used as a pawn by Ruto to advance his interest in the maa. In shorr raira let kina go because he assumes 2022 is sealed and he is pork already. Guy never  learn.

[RV Pundit]

Precisely. He lives for the moment. He has very little in terms of long term strategy and tactics.

Raira is a man who lives for the moment Prof Ali Mazrui described him perfectly, he is a good tactician but lacks the intellect. Ole Kina the loud mouth now will be used as a pawn by Ruto to advance his interest in the maa. In shorr raira let kina go because he assumes 2022 is sealed and he is pork already. Guy never  learn.