A key item to watch is Jubilee elections. Either there is a kind of detente or consensual lineup - or the gloves come off.
BBI 2.0 should be out soon. Tangatanga despite their noises and wishlist of 3.5% for judges and populist youth stipends have no control over the outcome.
Oh, Kichwa Mbaya knows your boy is being taken to the cleaners. His mixed feelings are on Uhuru 2.0 whom he loathes no less than Ruto.
Assuming Uhuru is on that path - he has a long way to get to Exec PM. Anyway no point repeating ourselves daily - but let talk when we have BBI 2.0 complete with parliamentary system and Exec PM. Maybe Ruto will then agree with both Uhuru and Raila gets the ceremonial PORK - and Uhuru & Ruto fight for Exec PM. That should return Kichwa from Siberia.
The rebellion started with the Handshake 2 years ago. Uhuru has nothing to lose. He snoozed during mlolongo and gave Ruto the upper hand. Ruto is losing the war of attrition: governors, most senators, a few MPs have crossed the floor. A place like Kiambu MCAs deserted Ruto to crucify Waititu. Generally some MCAs lineup behind the governor - so losing Waigurus, Lee Kinyanjui, Kimemias is impactful. Governors seem to calculate that it is not worth it to vouch for Ruto - so they have gone all in to lead BBI. Even Wa Iria has been doing some barking about not allowing people to disrespect Uhuru in Murang'a.
I see Tangatanga facing it rough in Mt Kenya and swing zones like Luhya. Uhuru is adapting Moi tactics of cancelling meetings and roughing up folks. He is dishing out goodies to fix farmer issues. Which makes it hard to peddle "we are neglected" narrative. All good.
Basically Uhuru has woken up from the long slumber and he is not selling Raila. Worse is that he does not need Kikuyu to pass parliamentary. Non-Gema are excited about the prospect of a level playing field. Parliamentary is a double edged sword cause Ruto either sticks with Gema or non-Gema. Uhuru and Raila hard game have really cornered Ruto. Luhya, NFD and Matusa will abandon him if he opposes it. Regardless of this your guess is as good as mine how Ruto vs Uhuru would go down in Mt Kenya. Your best hope is that BBI flops.
What Uhuru is doing in Central is formenting a rebellion that will crash him - you cannot use executive power in politics in Kenya in 21st century - doesn't work - those Mps and MCAS are responding to the ground. So Top-Down politics are not working - you need to work on the bottom first - and they will work on MPs & MCAS.
What will happen when MPs & MCAS OPENLY DEFY UHURU and RALLY BEHIND KIUNJURI? What will he do next? What will happen when they openly defie BBI and handshake? And they have popular support. Will Uhuru order them to be shot? Will he re-enact the Chief Act of 1990 
and ban political rallies? Corruption cases...bail is granted after 1 day of court drama. Only the governors fear losing their positions..not an MCA or MP.
Yeah Kiunjuri has a narrow window to dethrone Uhuru. Pipedream chance. 2 blunders:
1. he is selling Ruto as the alternative and not himself. He should be going for PORK. Or at least insisting he is ready for primaries with Ruto. People won't follow a follower. He is Ruto "loyal general to the very end."
2. he is still deflecting attacks meant for Uhuru to Raila. Too many proverbs and parables. Instead of going for the jugular like Moses Kuria. This smells like cowardice which is a negative.
Add this to his poor CS record esp Agric. His zero traction outside Nyeri. His abhorrent image in non-Gema. Kiunjuri is a non-starter.
Kiunjuri and alternative leadership of central moment of truth is now..they let Uhuru regain the ground..they lose. It time for them to openly defy him as being a community sellout and chart a new court. Uhuru cannot comeback from that.
