Parliamentary + Devolution sounds really good. Except MPs have such a bad reputation - I doubt Kenyans will trust them. Also, such a system will disadvantage the populous GEMA - and again I doubt they will bite the ruse. That is why I believe Raila is just being used. In fact, Ruto should support such a parliamentary system - because he is very likely to end up with the majority of MPs in 2022 - and will become PM.
GEMA has about 80 legislators in all houses. About 53 MPs I think. That is about 18% of 290 elected MPs spread in about 12 Counties (Lamu,Nairobi,Nakuru,Laikipia,Kiambu,Nyandarua,Muranga,Nyeri,Kirinyanga,Embu,Tharaka and Embu).
Kalenjin have about the same Mps spread in about 12 counties (Nairobi,Bungoma,Transzoia,Nakuru,Uasin Gishu, Baringo, ELgeyo Markwet, West Pokot,Nandi,Kericho,Bomet and Narok)
Luos have about 35 mps spread in 5 counties - Nairobi,Migori,Homabay, Kisumu and Siaya.
So you see GEMA leverage is gone!If Uhuru is willing to convince GEMA to permanently make it nearly impossible for their own to become Executive PM -including Uhuru himself - then so be it.
Look closely at the parliamentary system - you see to favor UK like a parliamentary system that is supreme over PORK rather than South Africa like system where PM is supreme over parliament.
Here are countries with a parliamentary system of gov.
They may have different styles, personae and facades, but the Three Big Amigos are all vultures and vampires - wolf in sheep skin who would sacrifice their mothers for power. None is "better" than the other at the personal level.
Why I support the Handshake and Kieleweke - is not so much Babu - but the parliamentary system. It is known to be better and more inclusive for our partitioned kind of ethnic enclaves. With a pure presidency, the man is an untouchable king. We need to separate the ceremonial "Head of State", "symbol of national unity" and such nonsense - give that to a ceremonial Queen or Emperor. To swear in judges, etc - so that all arms of state are equal. For now Uhuru is senior to Maraga or Muturi - which is wrong.
PM leading a party and spending half his week in parliament - not swearing in ambassadors. People swear allegiance to the "crown" or "state" - which makes them properly independent. Uhuru would be grilled about Itumbi or Jaguar or Baby Pendo by MPs - or even about Miguna - or Huduma Namba. The President of Kenya is inaccessible and unaccountable even to the new parliament.
Once we debunk and decrown the idolatry and pomposity of PORK - and make it a job like all others. PM is a servant - not a god - cause he will be grilled, debated and overruled. If he can't take the hit he can quit like Theresa May. People call Uhuru M?thamaki cause of the royal or supreme nature of Kenyan leadership.
In parliamentary - the guy with all the "respect" and "decorum" is powerless. The one with the power is denied and stripped of royalty, invincibility and impunity. With daily subservience and accountability to independent MPs.
Now, Babu is not a fool but he may be desperate yes. Uhuru may be greedy enough to want to hang on. The alliance needs to deliver the parliamentary system - then Babu or Ruto or Uhuru can gun for it. What happens after is actually not so important. I don't see it as a necessarily bad thing even for Ruto - he can still easily be PM without Gema cause constituencies are fairer and more equitable than one-man-one-vote. People will still trade horses and mules - under a more accountable system. If Uhuru should go home - or continue as PM - that's an argument Ruto or Babu can sell to Kenyans when the time comes.
