Politics is easy to read. You guys struggle I don't why. You need to study the best interests of the 2022 players. Uhuru is the big dog. He owns GEMA. He is also barred from running ever again for PORK. What will Uhuru do.
1) The obvious. Appoint DP proxy for Ruto and hand over to Ruto. Possibly continue as Jubilee party leader and enjoy retirement as respected former president.
2) Figure out he is still young and not ready for retirement. He will try to extend his rule. He will only do that by ammending constitution to remove term limit.
The pMish - executive or not - being dangle by Raila is laughable proposal that Uhuru will not bite. You cannot go from execute PORK to executive PM - unless you're PUTIN with your lackey in either position - and you're trying to evade consecutive term limits.
I believe it either uhuru will go home as Jubilee party leader - after appointing it appears his girlfriend Waiguru as DPORK - or he will try to remove the term limit -
Anyway knowing Uhuru - he has no stamina to execute any of those complicated plots - and will coil his tail at first sign of trouble.
At least you have abandoned your theory that Ouru and Ruto are playing RAO. There will be many theories before 2022. I still maintain that its too early. I do not know how Ouru, Ruto or Raila knows how to land this plane but they are all hopeful it will land in their favor. The Kieleweke team seems to have an upper hand for now because they are closer to power. You know things have changed when Gladys Wanga is talking like an insider and Moses Kuria like an outsider.