Author Topic: A economic avalanche is coming  (Read 76038 times)

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #200 on: December 11, 2023, 01:06:08 PM »
The trickle down effect of pending bills, now delayed salaries, no sacco deposits, no statutory remittances.

Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline gout

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Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline Kadudu

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #202 on: December 14, 2023, 04:07:04 PM »
Those re car importers. Tenderpreneurs are another group of people.

Tenderpreneurs feeling the squeeze.

https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/bd/economy/kenyans-cut-vehicle-imports-by-sh22bn-on-taxes--4463714

Offline patel

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #203 on: December 15, 2023, 12:31:19 AM »
2024 will be the make or break year. Half of 2024 economic year and first half of 2025.  I don't see how kenya is  going to dodge Default bullet.  Time to do more simulation. Ni kubaya

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #204 on: December 16, 2023, 02:25:08 PM »
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #205 on: January 11, 2024, 05:11:26 PM »
Govt has not been able to pay its county employees since October. The cdf funds have not been disbursed yet. The pending bills amount to shs 600 billion. A debt default is the only solution. Reset the economic system and borrow locally till the economy is able to generate enough revenue

Offline patel

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #206 on: January 11, 2024, 05:30:57 PM »
I pity those who thought it was best to do business with counties and government. Those pending bills is borrowed money from banks. Kenya banks should be subjected to stress test.
Govt has not been able to pay its county employees since October. The cdf funds have not been disbursed yet. The pending bills amount to shs 600 billion. A debt default is the only solution. Reset the economic system and borrow locally till the economy is able to generate enough revenue

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #207 on: January 17, 2024, 01:01:11 PM »
The governors are getting their monies, reason why they no longer hold press conferences lamenting of delays. Most I can see them launching this or that program. Many more are just smarting thievery.

CDF money has been disbursed just that the thugs do not want to embrace Ndindi Nyoro's working formula as they won't be able to steal.

On pending bills, it is epic thuggery, those supplying today are getting paid but some of those who supplied in 2013 are still crying if not on HBP.


I pity those who thought it was best to do business with counties and government. Those pending bills is borrowed money from banks. Kenya banks should be subjected to stress test.
Govt has not been able to pay its county employees since October. The cdf funds have not been disbursed yet. The pending bills amount to shs 600 billion. A debt default is the only solution. Reset the economic system and borrow locally till the economy is able to generate enough revenue
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #208 on: February 12, 2024, 01:49:42 PM »
The reset continues. Lagged effects of Covid era restriction madness plus the crazy electricity prices.

Quote
A disclosure by the National Treasury showed that loan defaults rose by 27.4 percent from Sh487.7 billion to Sh621.3 billion, marking the largest rise in a single year since CBK started making the data public.

The Treasury said manufacturing and trading sectors accounted for about Sh248.52 billion or 40 percent of the Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) at the end of December, pointing to struggles among businesses and an elevated fear of layoffs and slowdowns in new jobs.

https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/bd/corporate/companies/record-sh621bn-loan-defaults-push-banks-into-rare-profit-fall--4521758
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #209 on: February 12, 2024, 01:58:35 PM »
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #210 on: March 28, 2024, 03:42:31 PM »
Things looking good.
Unga below 130 mark where the dollar is headed.

Sugar price easing off. We are likely to get to 100-125 per kilo.

Waiting to see how the madness with fake fertilizer will be dealt with.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #211 on: April 30, 2024, 10:54:25 AM »
Yes unless flooding wreck more havoc; we should be onto good times; once again.
Things looking good.
Unga below 130 mark where the dollar is headed.

Sugar price easing off. We are likely to get to 100-125 per kilo.

Waiting to see how the madness with fake fertilizer will be dealt with.

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #212 on: May 29, 2024, 04:42:36 PM »
Seems only a default can shake Hasla and the government officials out of the crazy budget estimates and the KRA demands.

The formal businesses cannot take more of these taxes and instead of formalization of the hasora businesses, it is demolition.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #213 on: June 26, 2024, 10:31:57 AM »
The avalanche is swinging dangerously. Onto the kwesekwensis- intended and unintended. 
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline KenyanPlato

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #214 on: June 27, 2024, 04:32:31 AM »
State house Economic advisors have become bond traders instead of strategic stewards of economic policy. Ndii talks like a debt collector. Every time he rants about paying this and bond and the nightmare if the debt bomb explodes. He reminds of those debt liquidators that buy worthless junk for a penny for each dollar in hope they can collect from the dead beat loan holders.
We are in an economic circus. Playing a game of musical chairs with 50 million mostly  destitute souls.
We are doomed.

Ruto rejection of this bill if it stands is going to finally trigger a default. Let us stop kicking the can down the road


Offline Georgesoros

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #215 on: June 28, 2024, 12:12:53 AM »
kenyans dont want to pay million for Rutos and parliament expensive lifestyle, and luck of accountability. So default wont be the end.

Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #216 on: July 28, 2024, 12:39:53 PM »
Onions have are at Kshs. 25-50 per kilo from a high of Kshs. 200. The weather has been perfect.

Farmers margins??

Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #217 on: July 28, 2024, 01:26:16 PM »
The way some maasai wanted me to join up and farm onions.
Onions have are at Kshs. 25-50 per kilo from a high of Kshs. 200. The weather has been perfect.

Farmers margins??



Offline gout

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #218 on: August 13, 2024, 05:40:52 PM »
The hasoras are wailing
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline Georgesoros

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Re: A economic avalanche is coming
« Reply #219 on: August 13, 2024, 06:10:23 PM »
Onions have are at Kshs. 25-50 per kilo from a high of Kshs. 200. The weather has been perfect.

Farmers margins??


Onions can be dried and made to last a couple years