Final Final MOAS

[RV Pundit]

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Presidential Projections.

[RV Pundit]

Governor Projection

[RV Pundit]

MPS Projection

[RV Pundit]

Senate Projections.

[einstein_g]

Has Charles Hornsby released his final MOAS? He said he'd do one more just before 8/8. Prof. Nic Cheeseman also estimated 52% Jubilee in a paper he released a couple weeks ago.

[RV Pundit]

I am also waiting for Hornsby take.
http://africanarguments.org/2017/07/12/kenyatta-vs-odinga-a-study-in-contrasts/

Has Charles Hornsby released his final MOAS? He said he'd do one more just before 8/8. Prof. Nic Cheeseman also estimated 52% Jubilee in a paper he released a couple weeks ago.

[einstein_g]

Two incumbents in West Africa have been felled, Mahama and Goodluck, both young incumbents replaced by old guys. The issues in Ghana were sort of similar to Kenya i.e Akufo-Addo focused on bread & butter issues (cost of living) while Mahama concentrated on commissioning projects during campaigns. I think why Ghana won't happen in Kenya is because East Africa is different from West. We didn't experience economic collapse due to dependence on commodity prices -- our economies are more diversified. Ghana was so bad (especially in 2014/15) that they needed IMF bailouts, which are going on even now.

Here is Nic Cheeseman's analysis: http://democracyinafrica.org/going-happen-kenyan-elections-2017-mean-country/

[Omollo]

Pundit

Your games are well known to me. You can cheat ALL these people but always know I know your games.

Uhuru is going home. The bribes to Returning Officers will not work. The Remote voting will not work. The ballot stuffing has limited value because even if all the registered voters in Jubilee strongholds vote, they cannot overcome the NASA strongholds.

Your game is based on stuffing or rigging in at least FIVE NASA strongholds. You have already sealed off NEP and Isiolo, and Marsabit even Garissa. But your problem is that those areas have very few votes. You have registered children in Kiambu but have fears that being too close to Nairobi, you may not pull it off. Thus you needed to Kill the person you called contemptuously called "jaluo from Ugenya" so YOU can hack the database and disable the biometrics to allow manual voting with the ID as the only identification. This is supposed to be coordinated so that groups will vote at specific times of one-hour windows when the system will go off without explanation.

Other areas you need by force are:

1. Kisii
2. Nyamira
4. Kwale
5. Kilifi
6. Bungoma
7. Mombasa
8. Tana River
9. Taita- Taveta
10. Lamu
You need 5 of those to win and that is the focus.

Note one thing: Two can play the game. Hakuna mjinga duniani.

[RV Pundit]

Yeah I am working with Davis Chirchir to rig the coming election as per that MOAS.

Pundit

Your games are well known to me. You can cheat ALL these people but always know I know your games.

Uhuru is going home. The bribes to Returning Officers will not work. The Remote voting will not work. The ballot stuffing has limited value because even if all the registered voters in Jubilee strongholds vote, they cannot overcome the NASA strongholds.

Your game is based on stuffing or rigging in at least FIVE NASA strongholds. You have already sealed off NEP and Isiolo, and Marsabit even Garissa. But your problem is that those areas have very few votes. You have registered children in Kiambu but have fears that being too close to Nairobi, you may not pull it off. Thus you needed to Kill the person you called contemptuously called "jaluo from Ugenya" so YOU can hack the database and disable the biometrics to allow manual voting with the ID as the only identification. This is supposed to be coordinated so that groups will vote at specific times of one-hour windows when the system will go off without explanation.

Other areas you need by force are:

1. Kisii
2. Nyamira
4. Kwale
5. Kilifi
6. Bungoma
7. Mombasa
8. Tana River
9. Taita- Taveta
10. Lamu
You need 5 of those to win and that is the focus.

Note one thing: Two can play the game. Hakuna mjinga duniani.

[Omollo]

NASA intelligence exonerated you. So I accordingly withdraw.

Yeah I am working with Davis Chirchir to rig the coming election as per that MOAS.

Pundit

Your games are well known to me. You can cheat ALL these people but always know I know your games.

Uhuru is going home. The bribes to Returning Officers will not work. The Remote voting will not work. The ballot stuffing has limited value because even if all the registered voters in Jubilee strongholds vote, they cannot overcome the NASA strongholds.

Your game is based on stuffing or rigging in at least FIVE NASA strongholds. You have already sealed off NEP and Isiolo, and Marsabit even Garissa. But your problem is that those areas have very few votes. You have registered children in Kiambu but have fears that being too close to Nairobi, you may not pull it off. Thus you needed to Kill the person you called contemptuously called "jaluo from Ugenya" so YOU can hack the database and disable the biometrics to allow manual voting with the ID as the only identification. This is supposed to be coordinated so that groups will vote at specific times of one-hour windows when the system will go off without explanation.

Other areas you need by force are:

1. Kisii
2. Nyamira
4. Kwale
5. Kilifi
6. Bungoma
7. Mombasa
8. Tana River
9. Taita- Taveta
10. Lamu
You need 5 of those to win and that is the focus.

Note one thing: Two can play the game. Hakuna mjinga duniani.

[Nefertiti]

Pundit, on UG - what is the NASA calculation in endorsing WSR foot soldier Mandago? Banking on Nandi rebellion?

Governor Projection

[RV Pundit]

I think for WSR having Mandago is political asset - Buzeki is not a politician - he'll do just fine running his own or ruto proxy business. Mandago is proving himself to be very tough political nut and Ruto will need such kind of folks to do the dirty work - against senator Njoroge, Munyas and Kabagos - who will try to upstage the Ruto in 2022.

Pundit, on UG - what is the NASA calculation in endorsing WSR foot soldier Mandago? Banking on Nandi rebellion?

[Kichwa]

Talk about counting your chicken before they are hatched.  Affter their impending loss, the mafia will blame WSR for focusing so much in his 2022 bid and not sensing the silent revolution that will definitely send them home on nane nane.

I think for WSR having Mandago is political asset - Buzeki is not a politician - he'll do just fine running his own or ruto proxy business. Mandago is proving himself to be very tough political nut and Ruto will need such kind of folks to do the dirty work - against senator Njoroge, Munyas and Kabagos - who will try to upstage the Ruto in 2022.

Pundit, on UG - what is the NASA calculation in endorsing WSR foot soldier Mandago? Banking on Nandi rebellion?

[Nefertiti]

My question is how does this scenario you describe play out in NASA? -why endorse Mandago?

I think for WSR having Mandago is political asset - Buzeki is not a politician - he'll do just fine running his own or ruto proxy business. Mandago is proving himself to be very tough political nut and Ruto will need such kind of folks to do the dirty work - against senator Njoroge, Munyas and Kabagos - who will try to upstage the Ruto in 2022.

Pundit, on UG - what is the NASA calculation in endorsing WSR foot soldier Mandago? Banking on Nandi rebellion?

[RV Pundit]

Coz he has shown he can hurt Jubilee and the Kalenjin-Kikuyu marriage.

My question is how does this scenario you describe play out in NASA? -why endorse Mandago?

[Nefertiti]

I see - are you sure he is an asset to WSR? Logically what is good for NASA should be bad for Jubilee.

Coz he has shown he can hurt Jubilee and the Kalenjin-Kikuyu marriage.

My question is how does this scenario you describe play out in NASA? -why endorse Mandago?

[Nefertiti]

What's the story with Iteso - have they gone NASA?

Presidential Projections.

[Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants]

What's the story with Iteso - have they gone NASA?

Presidential Projections.

Teso has always been ODM.

[Nefertiti]

What's the story with Iteso - have they gone NASA?

Presidential Projections.

Teso has always been ODM.

Iteso are Sabaot more than Luo... in MOAS context. Proof:

Teso North MP - Arthur Odera - URP
Teso South MP - Mary Maase - URP

My query is why Jubilee only scores 7% in Busia where the Iteso are 30% if they lean Jubilee.

[Omollo]

In 2013 they didn't have a Teso governor

What's the story with Iteso - have they gone NASA?

Presidential Projections.

Teso has always been ODM.

Iteso are Sabaot more than Luo... in MOAS context. Proof:

Teso North MP - Arthur Odera - URP
Teso South MP - Mary Maase - URP

My query is why Jubilee only scores 7% in Busia where the Iteso are 30% if they lean Jubilee.