Moas is there because we know polls are not accurate enough.Nasa will carry Nairobi in pork n women rep but will lose governor n senator.I don't see much change from 2013 when Raila got 52 with Uhuru 46.As for Parliament race like 2013 I expect jubilee to win 10 out of 17 coz NASa have presented multiple candidate s..for example ruaraka where luos n luhyas dominate in korogocho, lucky summer n baba dogo...kajwang is fighting with anc iron lady of mathare north..so jubilee with 40 percent will sneak in...the same is through in many Nairobi seats.Nasa failure to present joint candidates or odious ones like Kidero or sifuna is their undoing in Nairobi and many places.