It's obvious why they lost; They are not strategic. Ruto right now is Key to Uhuru winning his re-election. You don't want to antagonize him. GEMA people know what huge sacrifices Ruto is putting to sell Uhuru and will not be kind to these folks. If they were smart - they would have quietly tried their luck - I say 1 or 2 of them independent might win. Hot-headed Kabogo will certainly try to go rogue but I think he has seen that UhuRuto are not Kibaki (but Moi) from how Joho is getting the heat. PK after scoring 2% of Nairobi vote will not appear in public for quite sometime.
Let me help with how this will play out....
After 2017 - these independent will be forgotten - as we spend the next year dealing NASA cries & wails - the gnashing of teeth as the last risasi is fired - They will certainly attempt small scale PEV against mostly Kikuyus business (Western+Nyanza+ possibly Coast)- making kikuyus realize they have enemies everywhere and forget 2007 so fast - this time Kalenjin warriors will fighting alongside Mungiki.
Jubilee who are set to win 60% of MP seats - 210 out of 350 - Jubilee leaning parties won 58% of Mps seat in 2013 and are set to improve this year - and tyranny of numbers will continue where it left.
After 3 months in cold post-election - expensive election, mortgage, many wifes & girlfriend , lifestyle of kings - most of so called independents will begging Ruto - for any job - just to afford fuel for their PRADOS.
After 6 months many NASA newly elected MPS will be defecting to Jubilee to work under Ruto - making Jubilee enjoy nearly absolute majority & governing easy breezy.
Within 1-2 yrs many smaller Jubilee leaning parties & NASA mps will officially merge with Jubilee -to create an even bigger - a behemoth - that would straddle the country like KANU.
Meanwhile Kiunjuri will emerge as VP & Deputy Party Leader. There will be some noise from Merus & Muranga people. I suspect Ruto will create a Pentagon like party structure with leader from Coast, Northern Kenya, Central, Eastern,Western and Nyanza...to camouflage this.
Uhuru will be taking long holidays with Ruto acting as President in the last year.
NASA in the meantime will be history and each will be hanged separately. I suspect Kalonzo who has eye for GEMA vote will be first one to try join Jubilee as trojan horse.
BTW
GEMA so called "Independents" have a meeting today. The Agenda: The Ruto Directed Political Genocide of GEMA politicians.