IEBC deadline? He will get Jimnah Mbaru's vote. Kambas remain the big factor which PK does not influence.
That is what I am saying.... the moment he gets Mbaru's vote Kidero sings all the way back.
Though it may be pointed out that even if Mbaru had "given" all the votes he got to Waititu, Kidero would still beat him by about 20K votes. This time there is no Kisia to spoil votes. I think Kidero has organized and muted friendly fire by some corrupt means.
Note that the fringe candidates who collectively took away about 30K votes will appear again in one form or another.
Now if you look at Sonko's score theoretically he would carry the day if he had Margie with her. Margie did not get any Kikuyu votes because she was in the "wrong party".
At the time Sonko had subdued his support and closeness with Jubilee, thus attracting a few votes from the Luhya. His links with Shebesh who many considered a "Luhya" also swayed votes. Again like I said Margie was not considered ODM damu especially after her outbursts and threats (Ongoro style - these women think they can get anything with threats!). She was unqualified - lacking that essential degree - but still wanted to run and people thought she was in bed with Jubilee to hand over the seat.
All these factors that favored Sonko are absent:
1. He is now well identified with Jubilee and Uhuru
2. He is known as being rabidly anti-Raila with his hiring a man to beat up Raila in Kwale and then laughing about it
3. He is not as moneyed as before having been edged out of the Nairobi drugs trade
4. His dalliance with Shebesh became a source of shame and has greatly lowered his dignity and Shebesh's standing