On an aside, I'm not supporting Jubilee's understanding of "Come now, and let us reason together" but I fail to see the difference between what's going on here and the infamous Men-In-Black of ODM, lest we forget:
These are "internal family matters". After the dusts settles, it will be the usual "our man and our people against them". Whether it is RV or Central, no amount of local unhappiness is going to translate into votes for the other side. So I don't understand the glee from Omollo & Friends.
Even before MIB, ODM and friends were associated with all sorts of hooliganism and electoral mischief (rigged primaries). Violence too has been deemed acceptable, as long as it targeted those that Raila doesn't care for. On that, I think one of Raila's biggest mistakes---and serious short sightedness---has been a failure to forcefully speak out against such violence and, in general, to clearly lay out a genuinely democratic path for his CORD coalition. Raila has become a fellow who cares for rules and proper behaviour only when it suits him; in the long run, that won't do.
As regards the notion that Jubilee is headed for some sort of internal collapse or will have to deal with vote apathy or rebellion, that strikes me as odd fantasy. Not something on which I would place a huge bet. What CORD should be doing is applying lessons from 2013. But that is exactly what they are not doing. Serious grassroots organization is dull and hard work, but it is necessary. That would deliver much more that the huge rallies of idle
manambas, "alliance" talk (last time this went on until the very last minute), an excessive focus on IEBC, etc. (Elsewhere, Terminator has remarked on the need to reform systems
without just the next election in mind.)