Madvd is one of those strange political creatures that emerged from the woodwork in 2003 when they suddenly realized KANU wasn't going to rule forever. His heart is with whoever is in power, but his body is out. Messi has no credibility when he criticizes the government.
I doubt he even has clout among Maragoli. They may like him as a son of theirs, but they know their votes are wasted on him.