I like Golden State. Even if I don't know how they get past the Grizzlies. I don't recall a jump-shooting team making into a conference finals. Grizzlies will ground them to a fine powder.
If the Clippers get past the Spurs, there is something to be afraid of from California.
EDIT:I change that. The Warriors might get past Grizzlies because of Mike Conley's injury. Still if Grizzlies get the game to their pace, they can win it.