Well TIFA says 68% of Kenyans think they are worse off under Ruto.. you can't make this stuff up.
Kenyans don't even support Broad-Based or think anything of Ruto Singapore pipedream - they know it new version of bottom-up ponzi.
This tells you why there was a UDA "win" in Malava - but major losses to opposition in the same vicinity.
Opposition did not lose Malava because of money - their supporters were intimidated and Natembeyas kidnapped hours to D-day.
Democracy is a sport. There must be a modicum of fair rules. If the rules break down there is no need for the game.
If Ruto wants to use Moi-type ukora - there is no game opposition can pull. But obviously we will not call it it democracy.
Even MOAS are meaningless if you just stop opponents voting and/or supervising counting.
Literally you can "predict" M7 will win 2026 with 60-70% - but it means nothing. Because there is no democracy in Uganda.
Ruto can join big club of Suluhu, M7, etc - even Maduro and Putin claim to be elected and so popular.
But just like Nov 27 observer reports will be swift and loud: There was CHEATING. It is the dumb students who do that not the creme.
68% of Kenyans think they are worse off under Ruto
Signal is Ruto will win - by using the same methods - and that is all politicians wanted to hear - as signal or bellweather for 2032.
If UDA was terrible brand - then it would have still lost despite all that - it won - at it worst time - now 2027 development will fullsteam.
Politics is cutthroat competition for power.
You cant come and say - ohoo Ruto won using skullduggery - and 2027 what will change - he will deploy the same muscle.
It is why I advice opposition to at very minimum have BILLIONS of money.
Ruto beat GOV because he had billions and was willing to give out 10-20m.
Now he is operating 57m or 100M donations to churches - hiyo entire Pastor or Bishops of county - will sink Ruto name forever.
In kenya at very least have MONEY - Raila failed because of it.
You wont have police and security forces - but you can have money like SONKO