Ruto moving stealthy - Rift valley yote, Northern Kenya yote and Coast yote

[RV Pundit]

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Naona Ruto has pretty much sealed COAST - ODM wapende wasipende.
Ruto has sealed Northern Eastern - ODM wapende wasipende.
Ruto has sealed Rift valley - wapende wasipende.

Luhya is half-half

Nyanza depend on Raila.

Mt kenya is gone - maybe parts of Mt kenya east

Ukambani depend on Kalonzo

[Modesty Blaise]

Kalenjin is home turf, duhh.
Then bulk of pastoralists - KAMATUSA, NEP, Coast ex-Mijikenda.

That Ruto on his own.

With Raila add Luo and Mijikenda. That's about it for Ruto-Raila.

Gusii gone with Matiang'i.. unless Ruto manage to nail him - but with RiggyG A-game ngumu. Fronting Simba Arati won't cut it.

Luhya iko shida kubwa kama Mlima. I think Ruto should have left Malava for ODM - it Kakamega where ODM already hold governor, Women Rep, 8 out of 11 MPs? Khalwale the only UDA member is now a rebel. Now with Kenya Moja Sifunas and Amisis also rebels. You need to get that ANC folding into UDA was moronic and a BIG MINUS in Luhya who feel MaDVD is a useless leader with hollow skeleton PM. What an embarassment. That's why they are flocking to Natembeya who is a breath of fresh air. They desperately need(ed) a savior from the shameful flowergirl disposition.

Now you have the obnoxious, condescending Farouk camping there Optically it a Luo overlord literally handing them over to another alien. How do you not see this?

If Luo can't agree to back Ruto with nothing less of DPORK - how do you expect Luhya to take it? I don't see it going well at all for Ruto.

[Modesty Blaise]

United opposition unless they fall out have Gema, Kamba, Luhya, Gusii. Can easily morph into Narc wave and few dissenters will be swept.

Ruto can always pull a jujitsu move - which I doubt RiggyG would bite - allow him to run.

Hii ya dishing out diverted SHA and tuition actually works against him.

[RV Pundit]

Toa Luhya kwa hiyo opposition alliance.  The remaining alliance will split when you pick a candidate - GEMA will not accept to just escort others - Kalonzo must run - Matiangi is exciting gusii for nothing - he aint getting nowhere

United opposition unless they fall out have Gema, Kamba, Luhya, Gusii. Can easily morph into Narc wave and few dissenters will be swept.

Ruto can always pull a jujitsu move - which I doubt RiggyG would bite - allow him to run.

Hii ya dishing out diverted SHA and tuition won't cut it.

[Modesty Blaise]

Luhya soma logic hapo juu.

Gema won't run. RiggyG of course will claim to run - to string Regular Githunguris - then in Dec 2026 formula back Kalonzo. If you think that G7 redux is not effective let Ndindi Nyoro launch his blue wheelbarrow. Poor man is turning into another PK. Not even at least a briefcase to pull mkia in Mbeere.

Ruto can round up pastoralists and Mijikenda easy because they have no principals as unpopulous regions. Big kabila you need principals. The odds are against Ruto because of his own wrong moves and RiggyG is outplaying him.

Wanted to pry away Kalonzo but RiggyG dangle PORK.
Now Luhya and Gusii - RiggyG dangle DPORK.

That holds big 4 like glue.. what is Ruto offering better than D/PORK?

Toa Luhya kwa hiyo opposition alliance.  The remaining alliance will split when you pick a candidate - GEMA will not accept to just escort others - Kalonzo must run - Matiangi is exciting gusii for nothing - he aint getting nowhere

United opposition unless they fall out have Gema, Kamba, Luhya, Gusii. Can easily morph into Narc wave and few dissenters will be swept.

Ruto can always pull a jujitsu move - which I doubt RiggyG would bite - allow him to run.

Hii ya dishing out diverted SHA and tuition won't cut it.

[Modesty Blaise]

Pundit - it obvious RiggyG is the brain in united opposition. Do you disagree? It's not a natural or spontaneous club.

I see good moves so far.
If a fool like Githunguri was kalenjin he would be bitching why is Ruto giving Luo such big seats yet foxy Raila will betray him. But winning need serious play not insular nonsense.
Ditto for opposition.

[RV Pundit]

Riggy is great excellent the best - Ruto loves him - he can only get Dorcas to back him.

Again watch Raila and Uhuru.

Hii yako is insulting my intelligence

Pundit - it obvious RiggyG is the brain in united opposition. Do you disagree? It's not a natural or spontaneous club.

I see good moves so far.
If a fool like Githunguri was kalenjin he would be bitching why is Ruto giving Luo such big seats yet foxy Raila will betray him. But winning need serious play not insular nonsense.
Ditto for opposition.

[Modesty Blaise]

I guess the many meetings at SH are all about old Raila - who has already given him Malava - basically surrendered Luhya. Even Banissa am sure is UDA.

I don't get Gema won't juste scort others - they escorted Ruto and Raila. RiggyG is bigger player now compared to 2022. Ruto can try play Ndindi or Kuria - but RiggyG already ahead.

But we should watch fatso Uhuru.. while you admit most Mlima is gone. You don't make sense.