Kenya 2025 medium term like election on 27th Nov by-elections

[Modesty Blaise]

Magarini ODM Garama Kombe vs Stanley Kenga DCP is heated.

Kenga was withdrawn by UDA and decamped in anger - but he is popular and claims was rigged by Kombe in 2022.

[Modesty Blaise]

If UDA wins it will be because of heavy spending not primaries. But without concrete proof of illegality that's fair and square. RiggyG is free to preach Ruto is mwizi using SHA and HELB cash.

Likely to lose because UDA stuck to RUto democratic ideals and held primaries.
Primaries are good mini elections.
The rest of parties didnt do that - ODM did.
ODM-UDA have arrangment not compete against each other.

Kindiki win - Fire si Fire - he will clean up Rigathi from Mt kenya East.

Then he should get Uhuru to endorse him as Mt Kenya leader

[RV Pundit]

UDA has incumbent toolbox.
Opposition has it advantage - it can accuse Ruto of failing to do xyz
So its a fair contest.

If UDA wins it will be because of heavy spending not primaries. But without concrete proof of illegality that's fair and square. RiggyG is free to preach Ruto is mwizi using SHA and HELB cash.

[RV Pundit]

With about 20 days to go.

Charles think DP carries Mbeere North and Malava goes with DAP.

https://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog

[Njuri Ncheke]

Unless Ruto makes another serious fcuk up like the Gen Z fiasco, I dont see any challenge on him regardless of outcome.

[RV Pundit]

The country 'anger' has subsided except amongst Kikuyus.
Ruto need more paving of rural roads to get easy votes.
urban votes are difficult to please generally - as they have tarmac/piped water already.

Unless Ruto makes another serious fcuk up like the Gen Z fiasco, I dont see any challenge on him regardless of outcome.

[Githunguri]

Post baringo,

I don't see UDA winning anywhere.

[RV Pundit]

Neck and Neck in Malava - Naona kuna Mnandi Tuwei?

DAP 44%  v UDA 37%

https://x.com/Mizaniafrica/status/1986644832303935908

[RV Pundit]

Kindiki sweeping the floor now in Mt Kenya east.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Neck and Neck in Malava - Naona kuna Mnandi Tuwei?

DAP 44%  v UDA 37%

https://x.com/Mizaniafrica/status/1986644832303935908

Ayub Savaula decamped from supporting the United Opposition and is now with David Ndakwa. Tuwei seems Kalenjin but could be Tiriki/Kabras or a smaller Luhya tribe as well. If it's Kale, I'm sure Farouk will shove him aside. In Malava, it is now Farouk vs Seth, and it looks like Kabras-speaking Farouk is kicking Seth in his own neck of the woods. It shows if you can relate and open your wallet, Luhya people, especially women, will give you votes regardless! If Ndakwa loses, it will be by a small margin. All indications show he will win! President and top Luhya leadership led by Wetangula and the rest will be camping in Malava the last few days! Voters care more about development and wallets, and anything else is ujinga tupu!

[RV Pundit]

MaDVD and Weta plus ODM need to realize that DCP will become a problem unless stopped. The next 2 weeks will be critical.

Ayub Savaula decamped from supporting the United Opposition and is now with David Ndakwa. Tuwei seems Kalenjin but could be Tiriki/Kabras or a smaller Luhya tribe as well. If it's Kale, I'm sure Farouk will shove him aside. In Malava, it is now Farouk vs Seth, and it looks like Kabras-speaking Farouk is kicking Seth in his own neck of the woods. It shows if you can relate and open your wallet, Luhya people, especially women, will give you votes regardless! If Ndakwa loses, it will be by a small margin. All indications show he will win! President and top Luhya leadership led by Wetangula and the rest will be camping in Malava the last few days! Voters care more about development and wallets, and anything else is ujinga tupu!

[Modesty Blaise]

I think you mean DAP-K. DCP is non-existent in Luhya.

MaDVD and Weta plus ODM need to realize that DCP will become a problem unless stopped. The next 2 weeks will be critical.

Ayub Savaula decamped from supporting the United Opposition and is now with David Ndakwa. Tuwei seems Kalenjin but could be Tiriki/Kabras or a smaller Luhya tribe as well. If it's Kale, I'm sure Farouk will shove him aside. In Malava, it is now Farouk vs Seth, and it looks like Kabras-speaking Farouk is kicking Seth in his own neck of the woods. It shows if you can relate and open your wallet, Luhya people, especially women, will give you votes regardless! If Ndakwa loses, it will be by a small margin. All indications show he will win! President and top Luhya leadership led by Wetangula and the rest will be camping in Malava the last few days! Voters care more about development and wallets, and anything else is ujinga tupu!

[Modesty Blaise]

Savula the comedian explains why he is backing Ndakwa vs Panyako.

Watch from 4:30

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Sick and drunkard Justin Muturi and Broke sick Gachavu will take a massive political hit if they lose after camping in Mbeere preaching tribalism, wantam, and hurling stupid slogans

[gout]

You are overdoing this fake poll poster. A CS and DP bedroom should be no contest.

Sick and drunkard Justin Muturi and Broke sick Gachavu will take a massive political hit if they lose after camping in Mbeere preaching tribalism, wantam, and hurling stupid slogans

[RV Pundit]

Seem Kindiki vs Gachagua last 10 days.
Poor Kindiki has to deliver.

[RV Pundit]

Last Mizani polls shows Mbeere North has tightened to be too close to call. Malava DCP has small edge.

[Githunguri]

ignore fake polls.

Karish wins with big margin.

[Modesty Blaise]

These polls are fake, the swings are illogical.
So Karish moved from 28 to 42% in 11 days?

https://publish.twitter.com/?url=

The multi-phase comparison from September through the two November survey waves shows a constituency experiencing meaningful shifts in voter alignment. Leonard Wa Muthende, who began at 33.3% in September, rose steadily to 40.1% in October, then peaked at 47.5% on November 8th… pic.twitter.com/XguZ3SmRt3

— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) November 19, 2025

[Modesty Blaise]

ODM Kenya Moja rebels backing Panyako

See Caleb Amisi at 2:20