Raila having been in politics for too long has personal relationships with most African diplomats and this is his strongest point ,they can vouch for him personally and ignore directions from their blocs.
If Raila looses I blame Ruto squarely for mingling with Kagame and Museveni causing instability in DRC. for sure the timing by the tutsi/kalenjin to launch war in congo is very suspicious why couldn't they wait, hapa Ruto is being taken for a fool by skinny kagame, Kenya needs breaks relationships with Rwanda we gain nothing from them.
Which African diplomats does he have a personal relationship with?Mention them?
If you are a properly thinking head of state,Would you vote for a Individual
1) Who engineered a coup in his home country in 1983?
2) Who has engineered mass protects after defeat in the presidential elections from 2007?
3) Who has criticised heads of state from other countries during presidential elections starting from Zimbabwe Ivory Coast Uganda South Sudan Gabon DRC?
That AUC chairperson position needs a very moderate figure who knows how to balance issues.You don't need a controversial figure like Raila on that seat because incase of a conflict,He would mobilize your ouster.No wonder leaders who ascend to power through coups are not allowed at the AU.As things stand,Raila has a very bad reputation internationally,The reason he was welcomed by other heads of states during his AUC campaign is for PR and Diplomacy of good image and relations between countries.After that,His gifts and documents were thrown in the dustbin.
I am trying to imagine how Salva Kiir will vote for Raila who supports his lifetime enemy Riek Machar or Mnangagwa from ZANU PF who completely dislikes Chamisa Raila's friend.
Pale AU apana mchezo.You don't need an American proxy, opposition jihadist,Muslim hater or coup plotter.The defeat will be massive.Newly elected Botswana and Senegal presidents will deliver the dying kick on behalf of the Kenyan GENz.