Uhuru Scenario.
(A) Uhuru wants to restore himself as Mt kenya leader.In Gachagua absence in retirement from politics,He would control millions of Mt kenya votes and Jubilee would get alot of votes.That is good bargain.With his presence,He is politically useless.He cannot deliver anything to Raila or Ruto.
(B) Incase he chooses endorse Kalonzo,He wants to be the bridge which means billions.
(2) Raila Scenario:2027 presidential ballot Scenario:
(1) Kalonzo/Gachagua coalition-Mt Kenya Eastern Nairobi block.18 senators and Governors,130 Mps,18 Senators.40%+ National vote.
(2) Raila-Nyanza,50% Western and 50% Coast 70Mps,17 governors and senators 34% National vote.
(3) Ruto-Rift valley E Marakwet W Pokot Nandi Kericho Uasin Gishu Bomet Narok That means less than 10 governors Less than 60Mps and less than 10 senators.In this scenario out of 8 provinces,Ruto looses in Nairobi Central Eastern Western Nyanza Coast.He only wins Rift valley.Will he manage 25% in 24 counties?No.Will he manage over 30% National vote?No.We are having a scenario where a sitting president will be Number 3 in 2027.
In such a scenario,We will have a Run off.Kalonzo will be number 1 and Number 2 will be a competition between Raila and Ruto.In this scenario,Gachagua completely locks out Raila out of the presidency eternally as a 6X presidential looser.
Gachagua needs to know,Uhuru Raila and Ruto are united against him.