I trust Pundit's MOAS over other polls

[Nefertiti]

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The polls have really disappointed for 2022!

Both sides are cheating by corrupting pollsters. We are left with RV Pundit's MOAS.

[RV Pundit]

I welcome your endorsement. That takes some courage. You can be assured I dont cheat despite having a horse in the race. My fidelity is to facts.

MOASS - I think we will end at 55 Ruto versus 45 Raila.

Charles Hornsby - last he was at 52 Ruto versus 48 Raila...waiting for his final figures.

Now looking at final polls they are all over the map
InfoTrak/Nation - 49 Raila versus 41
Radio Africa/Star - 46 Ruto versus 45 Raila
Ipsos  - 47 Raila - versus 41 Raila
Mizani Africa - 51 Ruto versus 45 Ruto
IRS - 53 Ruto versus 42 Raila.
TIFA -  47 Raila versus 44 Ruto
RankAfrica -  Ruto was leading
Africa Strategic Group - 49 Raila versus 43 Ruto

[RV Pundit]

Ethnic driven predictive modelling.

1) My well acclaimed Mother of All SpreadSheet (MOASS) is predicting 55% win for Ruto and Raila at 45%.
2) My competitor in the business - Dr Charles Hornsby (Oxford and deeply studied kenya politics) - latest prediction was Ruto narrow win of 52 percent against Raila 48.
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog

Now looking at final polls they are all over the map

Those predicting a Raila win - that is contigent on undecided votes - to cross 50% plus one for 1st round.
- InfoTrak/Nation - 49 Raila versus 41
- Ipsos - 47 Raila - versus 41 Raila
- Strategic Africa -

Those predicting too close to call - within their margin of error
-TIFA - 46 Raila versus 44 Ruto
-Radio Africa/Star - 46 Ruto versus 45 Raila

Those predicting a Ruto win
- IRS - 53 Ruto versus 42 Raila.
- Mizani Africa - 51 Ruto versus 45 Ruto
- RankAfrica - Ruto was leading

Now pick your poison - add all the rigging - and then in few days we shall see