Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko

[RV Pundit]

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He needs to talk to PAA Kingi for a merge

Abdulswamad Nassir is the most popular gubernatorial candidate with popularity ratings of 55.6%.#mizaniafricapolls pic.twitter.com/ExD0tg6wzB

— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) July 18, 2022

[RV Pundit]

Kakemega is neck to neck

Kakamega gubernatorial contest is a TWO horse race . With their difference lying within the margin of error, It's anyone's game .#mizaniafricapolls pic.twitter.com/ErYuzexLOM

— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) July 18, 2022

[Nefertiti]

Nassir is now unassailable lead. PAA cannot save Sarai but Sonko departure is overall bad for Azimio.

He needs to talk to PAA Kingi for a merge

Abdulswamad Nassir is the most popular gubernatorial candidate with popularity ratings of 55.6%.#mizaniafricapolls pic.twitter.com/ExD0tg6wzB

— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) July 18, 2022

[Nefertiti]

I believe unexpected Malala struggle to be a result of Ruto embarassing Mdvd by running in Sabatia. UDA vs ANC confusion.

What is useless Jirongo plan? 5% 

Kakemega is neck to neck

Kakamega gubernatorial contest is a TWO horse race . With their difference lying within the margin of error, It's anyone's game .#mizaniafricapolls pic.twitter.com/ErYuzexLOM

— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) July 18, 2022

[RV Pundit]

Vihiga and Kakamega are different ball games.
Malala will win because he has start strong in the Kakamega north -
Likuyani is basically Bukusu - that is malala bila kupingwa. They should be in Bungoma or Tranzoia.
Big one is Malava - where Kabra live - they have like 150k votes -  they dont like Raila - i think since days of Kabra sugar versus west mount thing.
So Malala is already 200K solid start.
Then rest of kakamega is split...50-50 btw Baraza and Malala.

I believe unexpected Malala struggle to be a result of Ruto embarassing Mdvd by running in Sabatia. UDA vs ANC confusion.

What is useless Jirongo plan? 5% 

Kakemega is neck to neck

Kakamega gubernatorial contest is a TWO horse race . With their difference lying within the margin of error, It's anyone's game .#mizaniafricapolls pic.twitter.com/ErYuzexLOM

— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) July 18, 2022

[Nefertiti]

ODM tried to counter north with Savula. Malala had whipped up Luhya nationalism before KK deal... and was leading. If UDA had stayed out as they have done in Ford-K territory - ANC would easily sweep.

Now this 2% lead can go either way.

Vihiga and Kakamega are different ball games.
Malala will win because he has start strong in the Kakamega north -
Likuyani is basically Bukusu - that is malala bila kupingwa. They should be in Bungoma or Tranzoia.
Big one is Malava - where Kabra live - they have like 150k votes -  they dont like Raila - i think since days of Kabra sugar versus west mount thing.
So Malala is already 200K solid start.
Then rest of kakamega is split...50-50 btw Baraza and Malala.

I believe unexpected Malala struggle to be a result of Ruto embarassing Mdvd by running in Sabatia. UDA vs ANC confusion.

What is useless Jirongo plan? 5% 

[Nefertiti]

i see entire Mobasa UDA has mere Nyali. Rest is ODM - MPs, senator, governor